Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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To clarify, I am not raining on any parades just doing PBP. But I am a bit down that the third one is a cutter too. The G suite is not buying into a long winter run as of yet. Cold air still locked up to our north.
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It is a lot of rain falling on snow.
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IF the LSV sees over a foot of snow on the 7th, adding on 1-3" of rain 3 days later is a lot of qpf in a short period (F word.)
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Yep, I did not want to say it. In addition, temps never drop below 30 in the LSV which will limit blowing a bit. Above freezing in Lanco near the end.
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For @canderson
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I see people talking about consistency on the MA board but though it may have been consistent with some players, the actual ground truth of the SLP's path was anything but consistent from 12Z.
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Great LSV run compared to 12Z. From suppressed to under state/South VA scooter. 8-12" Southern half of PA.
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Making a run for Ohio/KY.
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18Z GFS is has a north jog in the system at 120....we may need it to avoid suppression.
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Yea, same here. It is definitively further south as to the precip shield so a bit worried where it was going.
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18Z Icon looks like it could escape our grasp it if continued on.
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LOL, the luxuries of spell check. Mod-Heavy snow in Blue Ridge Summit. Cars caved. Near the Franklin/Adams line 1350 feet. Mix rain/snow in Rou and 33.
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Cumberland, Franklin, Adams, York and Dauphin counties today and one theme....it is raining a lot more than I was expecting. Snowing to our south.
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The level of posts on here makes it impossible to follow the "show" on the MA thread when just checking in every hour or two. Lol.
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Totally agreed. It/the 4th system is the key to track, IMO. Fun to track either way.
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You have yourself a fan.
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Gfs heard me talking about a slider I guess. It caved to the 0z icon (joking sort of)
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That helps take one southern slider suite off the board for now. Good news.
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I admit it is not likely but the major change in the big players (high, Jan 4th 50 low) over the last 24 hours has me watching for it.
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I am actually a small tad worried about a southern slider at this point. If the 12z euro takes it further south then we are just hanging on at that point. It is certainly not par for the course for the norm of highs weakening and storms trending north though. 9:45 nooners in Hanover. 36 and damp. Cars were covered with snow in Blue Ridge Summit. First time I have been in Hanover and not fighting traffic.
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Thanks, still about 2/3 favoring it sliding through the Southeast. Quite a few in the Delmarva at that point with another cluster well to the south.
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Do you have this same map at 0Z Sun to compare to the one above? I do not have Plus.
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Grabbed this from the MA thread...0Z EPS members locations of SLP at 7PM Saturday. About 2/3 agree with the Op in this not making an Ohio Valley Run and block/transfer.
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The Nam and CMC both advertising an LSV coating-1" Thur AM as the "Jan 4th" low passes well to our south but interacts with some energy and forcing over S PA. Temps are near freezing. The EC has switched camps and joined the Icon with the Jan 7th system being a Miller A now as well. Slides the low off the Northern NC Coast instead of climbing to near Ohio. Happy New Year everyone.
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Light rain and 40 here. Temp has jumped 3 degrees in the last 60 min.
