Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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He was just saying different so it surprised me. Maybe the geese got to him.
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Surprised you are giving up on the first two weeks of Jan?
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The 7th is our best chance in the next 15 days, IMO. Not a good chance but something. "Wall to wall winter" like weather may be off the table until mid or late Jan.
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Speaking of things I think about when I see your name, the lights at Whitetail are OFF tonight! A bit of a shocker as they had been keeping them on but apparently, they closed the whole operation down for now and sent employees home.
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He is leading 5-0 heading into the 4th.
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I saw Devon but 1) They were not open 2). I was not dressed for it.
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It is hard when we are in January and talking about lack of cold to our north. A disappointment for me as to the current runs as I thought we would have more cold in place by the 6th or 7th but now starting to worry. Take the CMC, the 0Z Suite had highs in the mid 20's for MDT on Jan 7th and had shown similar for several runs in a row. 12Z has low 40's. Yes, Op run caveat but that is quite the cave.
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Probably should have gone there. Was 55 in Hershey when we left.
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i was going to go to funcks to see the taps but we decided to head back to Houlihans in Hershey.
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Nooners in Myra...51 or 52
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Yes, decent chance I get through the whole year on one tank of oil. We need a gorilla in the gulf to help with the mental issues.
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Props to MJS as MDT now sits at 5AN for the month of Dec with 8 consecutive days where the temp has not gone below freezing. This includes 5 days in a row with the departure being 8 or more degrees. Made it to 57 yesterday at Krou. Looks like the THV equipment is down.
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Tale of two worlds when looking at the CMC and GFS. CMC runs near normal until about Jan 6th when it goes much below normal. GFS is much warmer with some torch days mixed in. 500 Heights in Canada are worlds apart in early January. These are both op runs.
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Lack of deep cold air on the GFS keeps our hopes tempered. Canadian and Euro a tad colder, though very marginal themselves, but also suppresses.
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Use the ignore/block feature...it has been a god send to remove some of the trash from previous years.
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It was mostly East of us. MDT only had a little over 1/2" yesterday as it was even East of there.
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We only got .25" and are still under 30" for the year. Lots of drizzle so it is quite damp.
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Heads up Dubois!
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0z cmc lining up a potential money shot at the end but temps would again be an issue.
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The same reason people play slot machines with so little chance to win? Your point should definitely ring to anyone who states things in a closed ended fashion as to the weather.
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A similar drum to what I was beating before but until we can reconcile this area circled above, modeled or possible reality, it is going to literally be tough sledding here. Above freezing in Wisconsin at 7AM on January 6th. 34 in Northern Wisconsin and 47 in Central Florida. The Op has been gyrating around with the amount of cold air to our north, similar bad run yesterday at HH though not this bad. Need temps at least in the single digits and teens in that circle at 7AM ala today's Canadian.
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Hopefully but that is not what MU said as to how I read it. But I think our best chances are Jan 6-10ish and onward as well. MU: IF a -NAO (Greenland/North Atlantic blocking) regime does persist from mid-January through the end of February or early March, look out! The chances of a big, mid-Atlantic snowstorm or two would increase dramatically! Snow-lovers, your time may finally be drawing near..
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I think some of the met's there are weenies at heart and at times derail their thread with overly optimistic views based on the very same models discussed here. But there has been a lot of crap in here as well. At least most here are not grating types.
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For Mid Jan on.
