Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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12z Icon is still sweet in a Miller A way. A little close for far southern folks. Surface is 30-33 for the LSV.
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The CMC has done really well with extreme low temps but agree that otherwise it usually caves. There is also the issue (faced here yesterday) were some people take model reading as a forecast when others know it is just a discussion of the current prog. Someone on here said WGAL is sounding the sirens this AM, I did not hear it, but that will get the public humming and set up the need for results or more PTSD will ensue.
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I figured the mean would not be different. Not ideal if the Euro starts trending away from its previous consistent solution.
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The MA thread may fall of a cliff.
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Still quite a few with a decent snow here...
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I scanned over the posts and saw the Euro moved more toward a Canadian like solution after having been so consistent the last few days. Cannot see all the maps but guessing we are still decent here though hopefully not a trend.
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A thread has been opened on the MA board so we will know more at 12Z. Quite often, if it is to fail, it will happen now.
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Low of 29 last night...first night under freezing in over a week.
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At least the 0z is out early. The EC is the PITA at night.
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The Euro Suite has been more consistent for the good or bad unless I am forgetting some jumps.
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PBP's are not throwing in the towel. It is part of careers for some on here and a fun hobby for others. The NWS does the same thing with their AFD's several times a day. Those proclamations of no snow for 2 weeks occurred 1-2 weeks ago. Sounds like for the LSV they were spot on.
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To clarify, I am not raining on any parades just doing PBP. But I am a bit down that the third one is a cutter too. The G suite is not buying into a long winter run as of yet. Cold air still locked up to our north.
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It is a lot of rain falling on snow.
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IF the LSV sees over a foot of snow on the 7th, adding on 1-3" of rain 3 days later is a lot of qpf in a short period (F word.)
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Yep, I did not want to say it. In addition, temps never drop below 30 in the LSV which will limit blowing a bit. Above freezing in Lanco near the end.
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For @canderson
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I see people talking about consistency on the MA board but though it may have been consistent with some players, the actual ground truth of the SLP's path was anything but consistent from 12Z.
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Great LSV run compared to 12Z. From suppressed to under state/South VA scooter. 8-12" Southern half of PA.
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Making a run for Ohio/KY.
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18Z GFS is has a north jog in the system at 120....we may need it to avoid suppression.
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Yea, same here. It is definitively further south as to the precip shield so a bit worried where it was going.
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18Z Icon looks like it could escape our grasp it if continued on.
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LOL, the luxuries of spell check. Mod-Heavy snow in Blue Ridge Summit. Cars caved. Near the Franklin/Adams line 1350 feet. Mix rain/snow in Rou and 33.
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Cumberland, Franklin, Adams, York and Dauphin counties today and one theme....it is raining a lot more than I was expecting. Snowing to our south.
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The level of posts on here makes it impossible to follow the "show" on the MA thread when just checking in every hour or two. Lol.
