Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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We used to sort of nominate people to do PBP for any given model run. That did cut down on some posts. I had been doing a lot because no one else felt the need or felt comfortable doing them but we seem to have more posters now that are trying their hand at it.
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Yea, I remember when we used to do it. It does make it more time consuming to have to bounce between threads but whatever everyone else likes, I am down with. I never liked the idea of an OT thread as it would die in my opinion.
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In addition to what ITT said, some models are only dropping 1/2 to 3/4" this weekend so not a lot of relief from this map. The Euro is dropping .75-1" on the LSV and the CMC is higher so a few variables.
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That was the worry about the 6Z despite it only going to 90. Had rain through much of the LSV.
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Storm 3 is a snowmageddon for much of PA on the GFS.
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I was not sure if that post or his dump and wash post was going to be your next reply.
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The triple play of 3 significant systems through Jan 15th for the Eastern half of the country is going to get lots of air play on the news.
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Yea, I think it's a concern as modeled. Let's assume the Canadian's are right and much of PA gets 10-15" of snow....the next two days the temps are near or below normal all day then more snow comes followed by 2-3" of rain. Could have some roof issues as well as streets not being able to move water away fast enough.
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High in a decent position for early next week front load though it is all washed away. Flooding would be an issue verbatim.
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Here is Kuch on Pivotal.
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The Canadian is really the only one I know that is still pushing over a foot for large areas. That makes them the king for 6 hours :-)
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RGEM's eventual result
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Close to double.
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Usually the differences between 10:1 and Kuch/SLR are not that much when under 10" Here is SLR from TT.
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Quite a bit slower with snow in the air for South Central PA compared to some other suites.
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At 10:1, that is drastically different that the SLR one I saw. SLR was about half.
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I think people often look at that as a last resort.
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It is soon plume time!
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It has at least been consistent in taking the low under us vs. forcing energy our west. EC and GFS have waffled between the two.
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Icon is a very fast mover....2-4 or 3-5" for much of PA.
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It is actually most of Lanco. Very marginal temps as modeled on the rgem.
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Icon has mod-heavy snow for about half of far Southern PA at 1PM on Sat. This includes the Pitt crew.
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True except it is above freezing in the SE corner of the LSV at the surface. Would it actually be above freezing with heavy snow falling? I vote no but that is what the output shows.
