Bubbler86
-
Posts
29,682 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Bubbler86
-
Yea, I think it's a concern as modeled. Let's assume the Canadian's are right and much of PA gets 10-15" of snow....the next two days the temps are near or below normal all day then more snow comes followed by 2-3" of rain. Could have some roof issues as well as streets not being able to move water away fast enough.
-
High in a decent position for early next week front load though it is all washed away. Flooding would be an issue verbatim.
-
Here is Kuch on Pivotal.
-
The Canadian is really the only one I know that is still pushing over a foot for large areas. That makes them the king for 6 hours :-)
-
RGEM's eventual result
-
Close to double.
-
Usually the differences between 10:1 and Kuch/SLR are not that much when under 10" Here is SLR from TT.
-
Quite a bit slower with snow in the air for South Central PA compared to some other suites.
-
At 10:1, that is drastically different that the SLR one I saw. SLR was about half.
-
I think people often look at that as a last resort.
-
It is soon plume time!
-
It has at least been consistent in taking the low under us vs. forcing energy our west. EC and GFS have waffled between the two.
-
Icon is a very fast mover....2-4 or 3-5" for much of PA.
-
It is actually most of Lanco. Very marginal temps as modeled on the rgem.
-
Icon has mod-heavy snow for about half of far Southern PA at 1PM on Sat. This includes the Pitt crew.
-
True except it is above freezing in the SE corner of the LSV at the surface. Would it actually be above freezing with heavy snow falling? I vote no but that is what the output shows.
-
You and I are already approaching 10" Kuch at 7PM Saturday. The other great thing about this evolution is less front end mixing concerns for PA or far N MD. Might get some snow TV as the surface is warm but the column seems better.
-
I think the Rgem would eventually be 1-2 feet in Southern PA
-
It is a winner...crowd pleaser plus. Well, Southern half of PA crowd and the MA.
-
It backed up the CMC , IMO
-
If the Nam shows 1-2 feet, this place would be posting maps at a rapid pace. Rgem is rolling and it always comes in fast on pivotal.
-
It definitely changed a bit so assuming it is going to trend more toward the other suites.
-
Nam has a Dual barreled situation with one low in the TN Valley and one off the SE Coast at 1PM Sat. No Precip near PA at this point. At 7PM the coastal takes over and a light mix of rain/snow/frz/sleet in far South PA. Not impressive.
-
If it shows the OTS solution again, I am ignoring it for now. Love me some Nam but that is a drastic departure from the others.
-
That has been debated here. Some say 2". I first heard that term on ABC 27 or Wgal and they were suggesting 4 or more inches. Models are inconsistent but really what make this board live...if they were rarely wrong, there would not be nearly as much discussion.
