Bubbler86

The 8th is quite mild on the GFS and Euro and well above freezing on the CMC. 50's in Philly on the Euro. Still not much in the way of BN temps in the next two weeks as progged by Op's.

For Jan 6/7, the 6Z GFS looked like we were about to get spanked with a paste bomb of snow and low 30's for highs and then poof...the departing 50/50 and approaching/forming ridge from above bullies it into submission and its gone. 0Z Icon had an almost Gorilla in the Gulf look and was starting a moisture transport from the Gulf as it rounds the base of a trough in the SE. Snow would have started breaking out near us in the next panel or two...again wet snow as the cold is very marginal. Icon below first and GFS showing the low getting pushed down.

Our own homemade ensemble is crashing in front of our eyes if we lose the geese/one member.

The 7th appears in the bag. We have the cows, geese and wmsptwx on our side with this one.

Lol. They must be taking their queue from the geese.

Most of the cows I saw today seemed to be walking in a general south direction.

Sorry you are not feeling well. Whether covid, flu, etc.....a lot are sick right now. Bad timing and does suck.

He was just saying different so it surprised me. Maybe the geese got to him.

Surprised you are giving up on the first two weeks of Jan?

The 7th is our best chance in the next 15 days, IMO. Not a good chance but something. "Wall to wall winter" like weather may be off the table until mid or late Jan.

Speaking of things I think about when I see your name, the lights at Whitetail are OFF tonight! A bit of a shocker as they had been keeping them on but apparently, they closed the whole operation down for now and sent employees home.

He is leading 5-0 heading into the 4th.

I saw Devon but 1) They were not open 2). I was not dressed for it.

It is hard when we are in January and talking about lack of cold to our north. A disappointment for me as to the current runs as I thought we would have more cold in place by the 6th or 7th but now starting to worry. Take the CMC, the 0Z Suite had highs in the mid 20's for MDT on Jan 7th and had shown similar for several runs in a row. 12Z has low 40's. Yes, Op run caveat but that is quite the cave.

Probably should have gone there. Was 55 in Hershey when we left.

i was going to go to funcks to see the taps but we decided to head back to Houlihans in Hershey.

Nooners in Myra...51 or 52

Yes, decent chance I get through the whole year on one tank of oil. We need a gorilla in the gulf to help with the mental issues.

Props to MJS as MDT now sits at 5AN for the month of Dec with 8 consecutive days where the temp has not gone below freezing. This includes 5 days in a row with the departure being 8 or more degrees. Made it to 57 yesterday at Krou. Looks like the THV equipment is down.

Tale of two worlds when looking at the CMC and GFS. CMC runs near normal until about Jan 6th when it goes much below normal. GFS is much warmer with some torch days mixed in. 500 Heights in Canada are worlds apart in early January. These are both op runs.

Lack of deep cold air on the GFS keeps our hopes tempered. Canadian and Euro a tad colder, though very marginal themselves, but also suppresses.

Use the ignore/block feature...it has been a god send to remove some of the trash from previous years.

It was mostly East of us. MDT only had a little over 1/2" yesterday as it was even East of there.

We only got .25" and are still under 30" for the year. Lots of drizzle so it is quite damp.