Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Goodie, I cannot wait until the first reply to a Nam PBP telling me it is not in range. But totally agree that nothing is over good or bad, just a model PBP. What is not great is if one believes in trends but wayyyy too early to worry about something that will probably change depending on what the 1/4 system ultimately does in creating a 50/50.
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GFS a forum splitter this run. Not great trend wise for the LSV but way too early to assume the prog can ascertain how strong any prospective 50/50 low or ridge building in would be.
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CMC more suppressed but a major jump north from 0Z.
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Next SW, snow overspreading PA Saturday late afternoon and evening...moved up the speed a tad....but primary is MUCH farther Northwest in the Ohio Valley at this time. It transfers but not great for southeastern PA. Validates the concerns from this AM as to possible eventual depictions.
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12Z GFS shows a bit more interaction between the streams for Jan 4th but temps are still an issue...rain in the LSV and snow TV elsewhere in PA. Minor either way.
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Let's just hope the 6Z GFS reported as eligible to the officials.
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Definitely better than we were 48 hours ago but almost too good, too fast for some....still a good problem to have vs last week.
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Agreed.
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Gotcha. They may pivot and not have it there to get stuck.
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You keep saying that but the runways would be cleared by the next day IMO.
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That was one ugly win. Mike McCarthy thanks the officials. I still worry about cold coming in for this system ala what the Euro shows. GFS money shot is a thing of beauty though.
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0z gfs is a beatdown next weekend. Around a foot for the LSV.
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LOL. Here is the moment he saw 12Z next Sunday on today's HH GFS. He is using VR glasses on the Weatherbell routine.
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Some of the 300+ energy does break off and cut but some of it stays behind in Baja Mexico. This is in the 330's now so not going to dissect any more of that :-)
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Hour 300, another one gathering steam in the Southwest but long wave pattern suggests a cut IMO.
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This just in....Geese community reaction to the HH GFS.
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Got the transfer and snow for 2/3 of PA...a lot of it.
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5-10" for the 7th. A bit less North and East PA. LOL. Man, I love Red Robin. Favorite Burger joint.
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Snow breaking out again on Jan 9th but this is from a front coming off a Midwest Low so would need a transfer or major block a transfer to stop this from changing over.
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That is an all-night no driving deal if you do that.
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This is the 7th not the 8th. Plus temps are still not overly cold. Snowing in the MA (MD, N VA) but 2M temps are above freezing for some of them. Philly near 32, LSV 25-30 during the height of the snow.
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Bang
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HH Gfs Op. Jan 4th SLP is deflected by a GL lows though this scenario does pull some of the colder air of the season into PA with teens and 20's for lows Friday AM.
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31 and mostly cloudy nooners. 3365 feet at the hogsback lookout of of skyline drive. Very little internet so took 5 min to type this out.
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@Jns2183 speaking of Philly....this is a screen shot as the X link was not working for me.
