That was one ugly win. Mike McCarthy thanks the officials.
I still worry about cold coming in for this system ala what the Euro shows. GFS money shot is a thing of beauty though.
Some of the 300+ energy does break off and cut but some of it stays behind in Baja Mexico. This is in the 330's now so not going to dissect any more of that :-)
Snow breaking out again on Jan 9th but this is from a front coming off a Midwest Low so would need a transfer or major block a transfer to stop this from changing over.
This is the 7th not the 8th. Plus temps are still not overly cold. Snowing in the MA (MD, N VA) but 2M temps are above freezing for some of them. Philly near 32, LSV 25-30 during the height of the snow.
HH Gfs Op. Jan 4th SLP is deflected by a GL lows though this scenario does pull some of the colder air of the season into PA with teens and 20's for lows Friday AM.
Prepare to face a Blizzard of info to suggest otherwise! A lot of it is expectations, I think. One can argue we have pattern changes on a weekly basis but blue on those 500H anomaly maps does not always mean surface cold will be BN. I also think some (me included) see the best and have a hard time coming down from it.
The 8th is quite mild on the GFS and Euro and well above freezing on the CMC. 50's in Philly on the Euro. Still not much in the way of BN temps in the next two weeks as progged by Op's.
For Jan 6/7, the 6Z GFS looked like we were about to get spanked with a paste bomb of snow and low 30's for highs and then poof...the departing 50/50 and approaching/forming ridge from above bullies it into submission and its gone. 0Z Icon had an almost Gorilla in the Gulf look and was starting a moisture transport from the Gulf as it rounds the base of a trough in the SE. Snow would have started breaking out near us in the next panel or two...again wet snow as the cold is very marginal. Icon below first and GFS showing the low getting pushed down.