Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Mostly sunny and 45... a melt-a-thon
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34 this AM. Overnight snow melt.
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Floods, winds, lightning....a winter in South PA.
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Slow Sunday evening post.
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Do we see MJS driving on the no speed limit roads around Dallas next weekend?
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MDT stays below freezing from Jan 13th-22nd on the 18Z GFS. That period has 3-4 chances of snow for most of PA.
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Mid to Late Jan still looks loaded on the GFS but I really want to see something like this snip become reality for several weeks. Cold conveyer that constantly feeds. Two clippers on the MR and LR GFS. We should not be mixing with that low track in Jan.
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If the cold pushes start to keep deflecting away from the EC as we get later in January, we may really be talking PTSD. NAO's, MJO's, we can talk them all up but we need real cold in NY and South Canada prior to moisture entering the area. @Itstrainingtime @sauss06 and others, congrats to the Steel. Could argue they are playing the best NFL football in PA right now.
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Need that cold push several days before to get back to what it was 2-3 days ago. This is LR stuff of course...model discussion.
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GFS has this but it is less than it could be because the angle of the high/cold tongue a few days before changes orientation a bit from 24 hours ago. This has KU potential as depicted regardless of the questionable thermals.
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It has been the same thing for years now. Simple Gulf monsters seem to not be coming around right now.
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Surprised no mention of the Euro. It goes to mixed after this panel but a strange depiction of a due north movement in the low. Also, as Mitchcnick mentioned Icon now on Pivotal which I love.
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Domo Arigato Mr Roboto.
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I listen almost every weekend.
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Send in the clowns.
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The stations that play Casey Kasem every weekend just played the top 100 from 83. Puttin' on the Ritz.
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Since I move back in 2018, this area as been stuck in a loop of a Dan Fogelberg song. Understand the frustration. The ma groups talks about is like we are in a winter wonderland up here.
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90MPH is common in Florida. Maybe you need even farther south.
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SPC not highlighting it yet, but the red circled area of PA could see some lower scaled moderate severe storms with the enxt system....as temps are modeled to surge to 55-60 combined with some instability, storms could act to mix down the damaging wind we all keep talking about.
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Mt PSU only had about 1" yesterday.
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Looks like you are in the tail end of the CCB
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The EC let him down too.
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Those of us that did well today have a very water logged snow pack waiting to melt out as well. I think the drought denting is official.
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Yea, I had attributed that to you in another post. I remembered your post. It is a good example of each model having merit at some point. Let's face it, many here want snow and it is the natural human tendency to gravitate toward what gives you what you want. There are many, many examples where the hrrr 6 hours out was so wrong, it is laughable but today it ended up being valuable. That leads us to the real issue...how do we know when a model is going to excel when it is just as likely to falter.
