Bubbler86

I was just on the MA board and Randy disapproves of the Ukie.

I also think we need the 16th to intensify and move up to over or just Northeast of Canada to better insulate us a bit from cutters and to continue directing the air from Canada south. The cutter this Friday opens the flood gates for cold...hopefully the 16th low helps keep it open. The GFS and GEFS also kicked the can a bit on the next relaxation period...still last week of January but a few days back.

40 here and fairly windy but gusts just in the upper 20's and low 30's. Other side of the house getting it today. The 16th still in play on the 12Z GFS and then another close one a bit later. Not literally worried about this timing missing as it shows some potential and still in that period before the relaxation that keeps being advertised the last week of January. The key for me is the 16th system getting into NE Canada to keep the fun going the next week after it. 500 below shows what I think was the coastal SLP just missing a phase.

I looked at the EPS for the final 7-10 days of Jan and not sure I see what everyone is saying is a good patten for after the 20th. As I said before, I will not use the ensembles for anything except pattern and maybe compare SLP locations and some anomalies and the pattern looks "not overly cold." The 850 anomaly chart at the time below is very red/orange.

They probably saved some $$$.

HRRR and 3K did a good job depicting the higher amounts the wringing out of qpf on the Leward side of some areas...the 1.75 to 2" totals in Franklin and Adams county are both on the Eastern side of ridges. Good ole 'Rou checking it with one of two small lesser spots in Franklin.

MDT with a 59 for a midnight high last night. LNS made it to 61 yesterday but had "cooled" back down to 57 or 58 for midnight.

The meso's really lowered the rain risk (and the ec as shown this am) late in the game. 1-2" is not a major flooder when falling over a day. The snow this am may have been the larger story.

Guess some areas had bad winds over that way.

Not our of the ordinary here either other than the amount of gusts was fairly high. Mitchnick lost a tree in his hood.

55 here.

Yea, I fixed. It is not a roller coaster where you have to wear pants that look like the US Flag and enter fights from the ceiling in a bulls face. When you go over that first hill, it looks like you are going out into the air. Griffon still my favorite...when you stop and hang for a bit.

I think the just closed the Loch Ness to redo it. I liked it. It was always the first coaster we last 10-20 years) rode because they opened that part of the park early. Apollo's Chariot the one that always gets my heart beating the most. I am starting to feel sick if I red too often as well so understand your daughters issue. Lol. I have not been to Dutch Wonderland for 45 years. Lol.

Williamsburg/Severn is our fav. vacation area. I cannot ride the Griffon often enough. It is pouring here now so we did catch the edge of those echos. Ending here in about 30 per radar. Line going through Lanco right now.

Sux x 10 for the start of Mid Jan.

End is not too far away here.....no gusts over 30 in the last hour. 1.35" so far. Not sure if those really heavy echos from MD will clip us here but they look like they have the LSV in line of sight.

So, the new 18Z for which I saw some bad data after the 20th or so, has no rainstorms until the last few panels but it is just cold and dry. Canada being Canada.

Well, something is amiss with this access I was given. It is mixing 12 and 18Z data because on pivotal the storm at 306 is not there on the 18Z 306. I was told I had a 30 min preview on the data but I think someone has some 0's and 1's mixed up. The MLK and 19/20th chances match though.

Whenever we have strong easterly or westerly winds, it is ridiculous here. The entire neighborhood is in the habit of putting stuff away similar to what a Florida community would do for an incoming hurricane. I am @ about 820 feet on the way up the side of the climb to a ridge/ Quirauk Mountain's 2145 feet summit.

I have it to 306. Secret access today.

18Z GFS, MLK storm still does not time things right as it rounds the base of the trough....another late boomer on the 19th then the pattern relaxes with several nicely tracked storms that rain.

If the 5 min views are to be believe, the highest gust at MDT today is only 32. 38 at LNS. Still 54 here with over 10 50+ gusts now affirmed by another rig in the neighborhood.

The 3 most popular. Will have to wait to Blizz gets home and he can chip in some squall lines in the 50's maps as well.

Our highest gust has been 54 so far. 5 gusts over 50. East side of my house is being water tested.