Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Here is the GFS before anything is going on for the East Coast out Florida and beaches. That vort stalls there for 5-10 hours then climbs the coast. It is tugged by other energy but that is my point. Not a gulf low that is raging out of the SE. Just how I see it...the models that do not show snow allow that vort to escape.
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The thing with the GFS that will bother me until it happens, if it happened that way, is that it is totally reliant upon a stall and climb. Almost ala Jan 2000 as to its track once offshore. Doable but I would not bet my life savings on it even 6 hours out. It is similar to betting on a Miller B.
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His post was professional and on target.
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I am not buying the GFS until Mitch shows me an ETAx that looks better.
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In all seriousness, because it seems to happen to like 1 out of 4 people, follow the steps to clean it out because infection sucks. It seems to be getting better then all of sudden, life goes downhill fast. Dry Socket has nothing to do with changing tires.
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12-18" for much of Lanco. 10.36" for Eastern Hanover.
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Almost a Stall/tuck.
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A Lanco Lancer
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Precip blowing up way south of us....not trying to escape at all.
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The next time I am in the market for a job, you are going to be my front man to juice up the interviewers. "Bubbler86 may not like coming in on Monday's but man this past Monday was his best in weeks."
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I did not feel like typing 2-4.5" inches but yes, I assumed I would hear this after I posted. LOL
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2-4" for you and I plus anything after that map though did not look like much more (Kuch)
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It backed down for its escape...but not great out here.
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You took that better than I thought. I was ready for a lesson in how to use the Nam and a mock for bringing up the Icon. if the Icon show snow, it sure does get posted a lot though! (Not necessarily you, the board as a whole).
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So now it is the Euro, 100+ hour Nam and Icon vs. Blizz. I know what he is going to say. LOL
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Hopefully Blizz is passed out and can sleep it off until the 18Z Euro comes out.
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Glad to see the MA crew finally understanding the Euro control of the EPS is the lower resolution OP Euro. At least in what I read on the page from the group that manages it.
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Belichick and Tom Brady to Dallas?
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I will give you one. I do not want gramps the sock to complain I am cherry picking models.
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You are in no condition to throw out numbers :-)
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I believe in my case it was Feb 2021.
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There has been one winter since I came back where there was snow on the ground for about a 2-3 weeks....I do not keep records like you but will look at MDT and probably remember when I have a chance.
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It is definitely a need the pieces to fall into place situation. If you watch the last couple GFS's the low seems to jump west at one point as it tries to escape and redevelops. But, the totals we are seeing could be expanded on if the low were to stay closer to the coast earlier on though the MA crew will not approve.
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GFS Kuch is 6-10 on Pivotal for the post MLK storm...for the Eastern 2/3 of PA.
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I think the GFS was close to getting away though ala Icon.
