Bubbler86

Canadian still sounding the warning for Monday AM. If still there tomorrow, might be some truth to it. Valley signal on the map....altitudes are warmer. Also, my ABS brakes kicked in twice today in snow drift areas of roads. Scary...ABS brakes and snow/ice do not mix.

I saw the lines as we drove to the top of the hill and back down after turning out of the parking area. I assumed at least 15 min. Glad they are getting business. I can ski some but a bit cold today with the wind.

Good analogy. It is like a basement version of Josiah Chownings.

We have gone there often; it is more about the ambiance than the food though the food is fine. They make a mean Black Bean Burger. Real fire candles on the tables...like eating in a Pub during the mid 1700's. Even the walk downstairs is a skinny hall to let you know this is an old building. Only seats about 12-15 parties at once so crazy busy during the summer. Not to be mistaken with the dinner side at the top which is a $$$$ place. This is the lunch place downstairs where the poor people go.

That low has to be the one to set the table for snow chances 1-4 days afterwards. No cold air going into this ones arrival. Blinds open though.

Yea, we knew it would be busy but that was too much. Ended up at the Dobbin House in Gettysburg.

We were going there for lunch but turned around when the police were directing us to the far parking area.

Yea there so many different flake types for one storm....I saw a lot of interesting posts mentioning how they changed so often. That Mann band before and just after morning was defintely 15 or more I would think.

I would guess many of us were 15-1 but decreased a bit with the low accumulating light snow which still added some Qpf.

Ski Liberty is crazy. People lined up around the corner to park.

This system was a big win for us southern PA folks. I have shoveled 3 times in 2 weeks! Some people in DE ended up with 8-12"!

6Z GFS is a wonky evolution but still our next open chance of snow it would seem. The GEFS supports part of the evolution in that cold returns late Jan. A lot would depend on the 28th low (which is snow for part of PA in its own right) knocking down heights over the Eastern US as it departs in yet another 50/50 low hope. As depicted it gets into the mid to upper 20's in Central Florida the last day of Jan. The Euro does not develop the same energy for the 28th so it is not going to lead to nearly as much cold pulled down. It actually has a NS system cutting off the cold. CMC in between.

Glad some streamers made it down last night. Nothing new on this side. 11 degrees right now. 3K still shows some more snow today just Northeast of Harrisburg into Central Lancaster County plus much of the Western 1/3 of the state.

No, I said that you are not cautious and go gung-ho when patterns are good while many are cautious. When patterns appear bad, people line up to complain. I did not want to insult you and say all are cautious. You go for the gold.

A week or two I have no issue with. Punting into Mid-February on Jan 19th is just not my style (when I referenced some posts on the MA.) That long of a punt sounds like something the Dallas Cowboys would draw up. But after this Monday I think we are on the sidelines for cold for 7-10 days. Let's enjoy the heating bill break :-)

How much should we adjust that for Nugget Nectar's?

See my last post to Mitch. Why is it that when the pattern looks great 3 weeks out everyone (except someone in Marysville LOL) is cautious but when it sucks it is a done deal and always right. Maybe it will be sort of in between :-). I can quote you posts from 24-48 hours ago that sounded positive about early Feb. Just not looking great today.

Our models cannot always predict ANYTHING well past 10 days including patterns so I am not even going to say the pattern will suck early Feb....maybe it does and not saying you are wrong at all, just too far out to assume models are right.

I did not even see that when I put my foot down above. I am just not punting 4 weeks. That is a recipe for having to back track in mid winter.

It was great, I figured you got hit hard. Just east of Waynesboro near Waynescastle road they tacked on 2" in 45 min. We are at 4.75 here now.

That snip from the NWS talking about bands into the LSV tomorrow is legit....a chance someone near the Burg or even lower sees a topper tomorrow. The HRRR is showing instability in the early to midafternoon. Route 80 Alert day. And, despite PSU shutting the blinds for 3-4 weeks I am still sticking with chances in the 10 day frame. Chances for something sloppy, not cold like now.

We picked up 3/4" more here. Some areas just to the west of me are up to 6.5" now after getting 2" in one band. They are holding nicely down into the MA

We have picked up close to a 1/4" in the last 25-30 min. Coming down pretty good in a band. Down to 26. Roads are caving again.

If MDT had 4" new that would be the opposite of the usual complaint for them. They also only had .15 of qpf.

They have 4" listed on their snow depth but it was 2" before the snow started. They may be rounding some, but I do not think they are suggesting they got 4".