Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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How much for Cashtown?
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Will probably lose it tomorrow with the rain but going to finish today with the 9th straight day of full snow cover with snow on roads and roofs. Not too shabby.
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Only game in town.
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Euro gets up to SW PA before blocking sends it to the coast. Cold air draining down turns the top 1/3 of PA into snow.
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Compared to this AM, I will take this with a bag of biscuits. Negative Avocado is pushed off a bit.
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Who called for the end of winter (on this thread, maybe you meant this for MA?). Most of the posts this AM were of the degrading look for the first week of Feb after it looked much better on the OP yesterday.
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It is just the national anthem of a failed winter (we have not failed this winter yet though.)
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I will go ahead and say it so it is out there and we can be done with seeing it, March will be rockin'!
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Yea, even Met Spring is still over 40 days. We just passed the midpoint of winter one week ago.
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12z is only hours away. Fake punt?
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Many of the last few winters. Ha. If we miss all our chances after this weekend and do have a warm first week of Feb, I remain hopeful after that. I personally cannot take models, even if just patterns, too seriously out past 10 days. Any 300 hour GFS postings from me are for entertainment.
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I was never that hopeful for the 28th but the length of the next cold spell starting this weekend really depends on a mechanism to tap the "PV" to our North East. We are back in trouble again after whatever period the cold lasts.
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The GFS capitulating to making the 28th low an inland runner and not sending it up to be a new 50/50 is not helpful for early Feb cold. The 0Z was truly ugly and more matches the painful look on the Ensemble anomalies. 12Z yesterday 6Z Today
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Hit 70 in Philly tonight.
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Actually, it is a step back initially, but the cold air is deeper and more widespread as we get into later panels.
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HH is definitely a step back as to cold the first week of Feb. Not alarming but slows the roll a bit of the "winter is coming back with a vengeance" of the 12Z.
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I was opening the blinds farther.
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It would have been a good one but plus 300 so not many details.
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No one mentioned the Feb 7th Wham-Jam on the 12Z GFS? Not because it will happen or it is real that far out, just because the blinds.
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Well, the snowpack did quite well here today. All roofs still covered. Snow drifted parts of the driveway are still snow drifted. Any rain tomorrow will break it down though.
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CMC and Icon and suggesting near 70 in far southern LSV.
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Speaking of the RRFS and others, it does have some snow accums in the MSV tomorrow...maybe a tad farther north than the posters here but close.
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The Rgem and RRFS do show icing with the precip shield farther south that some other mesos. Unless the 2M temps are off I think it would be short-lived as temps are 31-33.
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Just like saying winter was over to Mid Feb, on the opposite side JB's language leaves himself wide open to be wrong.
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Yea, model wise the highs are not too bad for the next 7-10 days...a couple more extreme days, but lots of double digit AN lows. Almost the entire first week of Feb is BN on the Op GFS.
