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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. GFS was puny with very little enhancement to the East. 1-2" most of East PA except some high amounts near Scranton. This is Pivotal Kuch.
  2. This coincides with Blizz's bank account going down $500 in the last 2 hours...payoff?
  3. 2-3" on 18Z Rgem. Coastal influence not as evident as some other HH runs.
  4. The HRRR. It was showing the vort pass too far North for our liking and was risking a Miller B like transfer that would see our west moving snows dry up and turn into snow to our east.
  5. Remember what model showed that earlier today...not him but....
  6. Might not even need a broom for that depiction here. Ha.
  7. Radar presentation gives the appearance of a CCB and really emphasizes the coastal for those North/East of us.
  8. Seems decent. Like you said, it may not impact roads much if it comes down lightly all day.
  9. Sure, I was refencing the AN/BN totals at MDT for January. The +5 right now is very high for this far into a month. It is going to be knocked down some over the next 3-5 days but if we have a warm last week, the final numbers will be toasty.
  10. Just look at MDT's numbers for the month and they are STILL 5 AN...crazy. With the warm spell progged next week, the final numbers are going to be pretty ugly.
  11. Looks like EC is 1-3" for most of Eastern PA.
  12. We are agreed, maybe I did not state it right.
  13. Some models have actually started Friday off as a bit of rain before the column cools.
  14. And predicting the results of the weather is what most of the science of met is all about IMHO.
  15. Nam 12 at 48. Not a ton of precip as shown. Not to the point of a full coastal influence yet so more to come. Fills in better at 51. Dry slot stays to our south.
  16. I definitely would ala the 6Z Nam 3K. I dry slot with that look. But trying not to do IMBY talk too much.
  17. LR HRRR with a nice view of the initial energy scooting right under PA.
  18. SE LSV and NE MA may benefit from that the most...if it comes to fruition. That is what the GFS keeps trying to sell. Highs near freezing on Friday (southern locales) would limit the ratios a bit.
  19. I think 1-3 is the best forecast right now but cannot quibble with 2-4.
  20. TT uses True SLR for the Icon which I read was an alternate to Kuch. It is not necessarily 10-1 and, in this case, does not match up with the qpf map if it were 10-1. Here is the Icon 10-1 on Pivotal. Much higher than TT with the point being gross differences between model sites snow maps is always a cause for confusion. WB is almost always higher than the rest for true snow situations.
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