Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Nam 12 at 48. Not a ton of precip as shown. Not to the point of a full coastal influence yet so more to come. Fills in better at 51. Dry slot stays to our south.
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I definitely would ala the 6Z Nam 3K. I dry slot with that look. But trying not to do IMBY talk too much.
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LR HRRR with a nice view of the initial energy scooting right under PA.
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SE LSV and NE MA may benefit from that the most...if it comes to fruition. That is what the GFS keeps trying to sell. Highs near freezing on Friday (southern locales) would limit the ratios a bit.
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I think 1-3 is the best forecast right now but cannot quibble with 2-4.
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And it is a WB map to boot!
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TT uses True SLR for the Icon which I read was an alternate to Kuch. It is not necessarily 10-1 and, in this case, does not match up with the qpf map if it were 10-1. Here is the Icon 10-1 on Pivotal. Much higher than TT with the point being gross differences between model sites snow maps is always a cause for confusion. WB is almost always higher than the rest for true snow situations.
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Don't look at TT then. It has you getting 1"-2" on the Icon and 2" on the Nam 12. Not advocating TT's maps but not every map on every site. 1-3 or 2-4 seems prudent.
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Here is the GFS on pivotal. Hard to keep track of what is what with the model sites being off by 25% or more from other sites.
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Not impressed with the 6Z runs (cannot see the Euro) for Friday. A Canderson broom off outside the Canadian and Icon.
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Low of 6....up to 8 now though.
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I am guessing the snow cover is taking 3-4 degrees off where we would other be at right now.
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We have dropped to 12. 4 degrees in 40 min.
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The micro climate is crazy there.
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Everything at the Morning Sun flea market is going to freeze. With that said, It is 16 here. Probably headed for 0-5 here tonight.
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MU: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php
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In the "good old days" snow meant a slowdown in work for people not in the Met Profession but with current technology availability, it is getting hard to find time for snow anymore...a shame.
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Not sure I have seen much mentioned but Mesos's suggest colder areas of the LSV go below 10 tonight.
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Drifting is causing some issues this afternoon. Some fairly main roads need plowed again.
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It came down from 12Z when most of the state was 6-8 instead of 4-8. FWIW, I only get 4-5" so no WSW here.
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Rgem snow panel still seems high
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Now low forms off NJ coast Friday evening...still light to moderate snow over PA (Rgem)...new low may be an issue with the regem figuring out where to place as it is gone one panel later.
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HH Rgem rolling in now and like usual the Canadians internet is much better than the US. Maps flying in every 1-3 min. Very similar through 54. Light snow spreads over much of PA in the early hours of Friday on the hour 63 panel. Weak over 1008 Low parked off the Carolinas.
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Much of that snow North of Boston is from today. The Friday low gets nowhere NE on the NAM as it drifts out into the open Atlantic. Cannot not seem to get one of these Southern Stream Vorts to time anything with a Northern Vort for a real snow.
