Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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It would have been a good one but plus 300 so not many details.
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No one mentioned the Feb 7th Wham-Jam on the 12Z GFS? Not because it will happen or it is real that far out, just because the blinds.
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Well, the snowpack did quite well here today. All roofs still covered. Snow drifted parts of the driveway are still snow drifted. Any rain tomorrow will break it down though.
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CMC and Icon and suggesting near 70 in far southern LSV.
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Speaking of the RRFS and others, it does have some snow accums in the MSV tomorrow...maybe a tad farther north than the posters here but close.
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The Rgem and RRFS do show icing with the precip shield farther south that some other mesos. Unless the 2M temps are off I think it would be short-lived as temps are 31-33.
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Just like saying winter was over to Mid Feb, on the opposite side JB's language leaves himself wide open to be wrong.
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Yea, model wise the highs are not too bad for the next 7-10 days...a couple more extreme days, but lots of double digit AN lows. Almost the entire first week of Feb is BN on the Op GFS.
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Down to 8 here now. THV hit 0.
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I was wondering if you might make a run for 0 but just the same, Rgem with the nice call for out of the city temps last night. It is in its wheelhouse with low wind/high pressures overhead.
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They have a haunted history, it is unfortunate. 10 degrees this Am.
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Laces out.
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7AM temps for tomorrow AM near MDT: HRRR-19 RRFS-18 3K-16 NWS Zones-10 RGEM-6
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MR GFS so just a discussion and not a forecast, the coldest air on our side of the Northern Hemisphere is close enough to us from Jan 29-Feb 4th to merit watching for anything. MDT does not go above 43-45 any day and some days stays below or right near freezing all day. Central and Western Canada folks are using their outdoor swimming pools (because they are crazy) during some of this time.
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I think we need something to time up with this feature coming down AFTER the 28th storm....3-4 consecutive days of BN or near normal temps. Either way the blinds are open but we are not going to see much if that trough escapes with no capture of a low. GFS a couple days ago showed it.
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I am having a hard time buying anything on the 28th vs. 30th, 31st.
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26 here and still bad drifting on the roads. Dicey travel conditions.
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Fringed! Shit the blinds! (Kidding)
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16 this AM. Models all over the place with next weekend into the following week. Euro shows frozen over the LSV now for the 28th storm but still no development afterwards. GFS trough placement is a bit farther offshore so that is a step back but still spreads light snow into the area on the 31st as a piece of energy goes by to the south. CMC has the clipper provide light snow on the 30th AND has some frozen in much of PA as soon as Wed as a 1039 high pushes light CAD down the apps.
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Yea, seeing Jordan Love have a shot to be n the SB would have been great. More exciting story than the Niners, IMO.
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Ugh, that was demoralizing. Laces out?
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Over amped on this one because of all the blind shitting (that stinks!) but the clipper coming a bit farther south would sharpen the trough and try to keep the southern stream energy closer (not going to say phase) with us in the deep freeze at that point. Maybe (probably?) a fairy tale but it is something to monitor.
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I think our best shot, IF the GFS depiction of the 28th low heading into NE Canada is right, is this period if we can get the clipper 100-200 miles south. Work some magic with that low forming off the NC coast. The coldest air on this side of the globe is sitting right above us.
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I worry it would be hard for that one to produce for us with little cold air around prior to its arrival. The temps are above freezing at 2M even where it shows snow. It does have some snow showers in the MA as an artic front cross the LSV 2-3 days after this system but we would need the clipper bringing the front to dig more like it was a few runs ago. Highs below freezing the 31'st.
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The Stage Setter (probably not this run though as the 31rst clipper is coming in a bit too far north) is a decent slop snow for half of PA on the 18Z GFS.
