Maybe frequent episodes of cold frontal passages for the next 4 to 12 weeks.
Looks like the "dripping" from large #polarvortex disruption will begin last week of March and continue for multiple weeks afterwards. First drip is predicted to have low impact but we need the caboose to get from upper stratosphere to surface for big impacts, probably in July.
Lastest modeling and analogs point to a summer here where excessive heat is unlikely, and also the higher chance for rainfall versus drought.
The core of the heat and drought will develop next month and extend deep into the summer around the Northern Plains and Western US.
Active pattern coming up, Thursday rain and thundershowers, then cooler and windy. Warmer by weekend then another system next Monday.
Wednesday and Thursday warmest days in the near term.
52 mph wind gust moments ago, crazy, stuff flying everywhere outside.
Looking at clearing line moving ENE rapidly. Temps should respond.
Southern area of storms look to miss me to my South, atmosphere may be more primed for the later storms.
Well it appears the 70 degree high for this Weds here is not happening, due to some onshore flow even with WA.
Another change is the significant rain probability for Thursday night is lessening as the set-up/timing and energy miss us to the North.
Look for chilly weather after the strong cold front and it may last a while. Booo
Well, it appears that possibly @CAPE's hood might see some brightening sky before the end of the day. Clouds are thinning out and some breaks very far to the SW of me in VA. moving NE.
47 here now, what a crap day compared to yesterday afternoon and Thursday afternoon.
Ground on hike was muddy from I guess drizzle and very chilly and misty.
Unlike yesterday or Thursday, I do not see any clearing moving on.
After a 70 degree day on this Wednesday, it may be a long time until we see 70 degrees again as cooler air seems to settle in the East.
As for the summer it would be nice to get several breaks from the non-stop heat and humidity.
After this weekend additional oppurtunity for rainfall later next week, then windier and cooler again.
Wednesday is a request off day. Looks most excellent !
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Clearing rapidly moving in from the NE currently. clear skies in Central and most of South Jersey at this time.
Question is, how far does the clearing make it by late day. Still 45 and chilly here with East winds
Looking to the core of the summer it may not be as hot in the East as some have forecasted.
The core of the heat is out West and in the Plains.
Indications as well that there will at least be the potential for some rains in the East, however, very dry in the center of the Country.
Most of country nice, except our area, socked in by clouds from the still cold near-by Atlantic and Easterly flow.
Perfect view of the low level stratus clouds
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
Interesting that recent March months have been way too warm for snow, borrowed this from bluewave.
It was safe to say that with the collaspe of the - AO snow probabilities in March were pretty nill.
The cold stormy window has shifted out West this month, but overall totally went poof. Many areas of the country were in the 70's two days ago.