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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. On another forum one met claimed the GFS should not even be used. Stated that by incorporating the GFS into your forecast for your clients it reduces your overall performance and accuracy. I know yesterday I posted about verification against the Euro, but when I read that comment I was surprised. Seems the general idea is the GFS is extremely cold biased, reacts slowly to changes and when you have time periods such as this where we are transitioning between seasons it does badly.
  2. Better late than never. This is interesting as well image of above for Sept 2019
  3. IOD continues to climb and looks to go even higher. Implications for early winter seem likely.
  4. I read we are nowhere near the low point of the still progressing solar minimum.
  5. @bluewave Do you feel the general warmth and especially the warmth in the recent fall months, Sept and October mostly, has been associated with the above average SST off the East Coast and the nature of the WAR. A sort of feedback taking place possibly which also plays a role in moisture transport up along the East Coast and warmer over night lows via higher dews. Any thoughts? Thanks !
  6. Just got back from taking a walk with the dog in this wonderful weather, love it ! Measured about 3.25 inches here so far with very light snow still falling.
  7. What, if any consequences does this have for high lattitide blocking in October and even beyond, in and around this region ? Also, recently looking at the SST changes in the Gulf Of Alaska they are rising . Would any of this warmth cause and or re-inforce a + PDO in developing in the month(s) ahead.
  8. I have a question in the lawn thread second one to the bottom, can you check it out and tell me what you think please > It's about grass and watering , Thanks !
  9. It does stink when you are a gardener .
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