WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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We’ll see what the euro throws out at 12z, but some stark differences between euro and gfs starting this weekend. Euro going cutoff low happy? Gfs too progressive? Hard to say when both models are maybe playing into their biases. Gfs solution looks way more fun, so I’m rooting for it.
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0.05” of drizzle already
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My oak turned brown and has been dropping due to the drought. Some maples are peaking, some look like late September, and some are half bare. Stupid sycamore is half bare.
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Yup meant to say this too. Probably ~10 days to peak.
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Euro much more in the NAM camp than the GFS for precip amounts tomorrow. 0.5-1” for the metro corridor, but much less for @C.A.P.E..
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Lots of drought busting throughout the southeast and mid-Atlantic
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18z GFS hour 300. Ya’ll slackin’
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Best defensive performance of the year, especially the second half. Got a pass rush finally, even if it didn’t result in sacks. And the best defense was keeping Wilson off the field with the rush game.
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1.4” way more than I ever expected in my wildest NAMasties
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This backside band is a thing of beauty. Pivot, convergence, the whole deal. Just 30 degrees to warm.
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Solid last hurrah here. Over 3/4”.
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#NAMnailedNestor #EuroNailedSandy
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NAM and/or the GGEM
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0.1” line basically runs 95 in MD tomorrow on the euro. Gfs and GGEM are both more.
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I’m up in sykesville for a baseball game already and plenty of frost here. Low of 40 at home. Meh. edit... down to 39
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18z gfs as rainy as it’s yet been for Sunday. 0.5” contour just south of DC.
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Those in the know know that RIC usually freezes around BWIs date, not DCAs.
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Yesterday was a whopping 1F below normal at BWI. Second below normal day of the month. Only +7F on the month now!
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DCA approaching a record length of time between sub 60F highs
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Hell, take last year and sub in a "normal" December and it ends up being borderline great year.
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Yeah, I've been looking ahead and forgot to pay much attention to this weekend. Maybe IAD too? 3k NAM would suggest so.
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^pants tent in DJFM. First freeze pretty likely IMO for perhaps everyone but DCA in the October 25-Nov 3 window, assuming these looks come fairly close to verifying.
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NOAA winter outlook is out. We're in the above normal temp/above normal precip area, but lowest color contour for each. Temp pattern much more Nina then Nino. Precip doesn't really look like either, but I guess a bit more Nina with lower precip in CA and TX/LA.
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Damn I'd love to see this look in 6-8 weeks. For now it probably just means IAD's (and maybe the other airports') first freeze, some mountain snow showers, and possibly chilly rain for us.
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Jackpotville getting into the swing of things. 1.18” IMBY
