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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. EPS is solid. 5-6” metros and vicinity.
  2. No I got you. I think big variations in snow are coming down to relatively small variations in shortwave amplitude in this scenario because of what a good moisture feed is present.
  3. There’s plenty of moisture available. Pretty small differences in shortwave amplitude are giving us large variations in potential snowfall.
  4. Yeah euro/3k NAM blend is a notable event for most of MD and NoVA
  5. Ukie is a beatdown. 13” for DC. No mixing north of EZF.
  6. Turns the corner too quick. Snow to rain. Tons of potential the next 10+ days. Blocking “should” help push some south of us.
  7. Fantasy range, but man it may be cooking…
  8. 1-3” north of DC Thursday am on gfs before rain?
  9. More defined/consolidated vort on GGEM relative to 0z.
  10. Beautiful run. That 2nd burst overnight Wednesday is colder aloft. Deeper DGZ. Would be some nice fluff.
  11. Looks juicy to me but maybe timing differences
  12. Hmmm Nevermind. Pivotal disagreeing. Was using snow depth on TT and even that is corrupted it seems.
  13. Legit 1” of snow+sleet. 2” over near @CAPE.
  14. Since the timing of this event got honed in, I think a broad 4-8” for EZF and points north has been a reasonable forecast. Nothing that I see right now would change that.
  15. Snow and ice don’t count if there isn’t an advisory or warning
  16. 3k would be impactful IMO for most of their MD zones verbatim. Solid sleet coating with ZR to fill in the gaps. Colder than Thursday.
  17. 3k NAM has up to 0.5” of precip for Annapolis area. 0.25-0.4” for most everyone else in the metro area. All sleet and fzra.
  18. Interesting LWX is not seeing the impact as greater than Thursday.
  19. I’d expect WWAs any time now
  20. Remix looking more impactful for metro areas than yesterday
  21. Terps choked and Josh Allen won MVP? Gimme a freaking break.
  22. If you asked me for an O/U for February 2025 snow IMBY on December 1, I’d probably have said ~2.5”.
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