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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. 12z mesos don’t seem as impactful to my eye as previous runs. Weaker or nonexistent with that narrow snow band tomorrow and a tick warmer.
  2. We are all either super confident and chill about all this or we’ve lost a bunch of posters lol. Wake up to like 2.5 new pages in the long range thread and less than 1 new page for tomorrow-Thursday and I figured overnight runs were a disaster. Nope! We have 3 winter storms in the next 8 days! Ho hum!
  3. It’s possible. Gonna be close for northern areas.
  4. We’ll have freezing or near freezing temps for about 24 hours leading into ice Wednesday night. I doubt roads will get too icy but sidewalks could be slick. They’re gonna close schools Thursday…
  5. 18” at BWI over that period is about 175% of climo.
  6. Not to get too far ahead of ourselves, but next week isn’t looking like that level to me. Potential for that type of thing comes later in February I’d wag.
  7. I’d wager the NBM for next week is a widespread warning level event. That’s quite impressive for D9ish.
  8. That longitudinally extended trop PV beneath a -NAO/-AO is a feature of our big dogs.
  9. NAM has a very thin accumulating snow band mostly north of our area ahead of the ice. RGEM putting it right through central MD.
  10. 6z gfs is so weak that we don’t get much ice or snow before the main event in Thursday, which is all rain.
  11. It’s colder actually. Probably some snow north of DC before ice.
  12. Shorter wavelengths is, paradoxically in this case, referring to the longwave pattern. In mid-winter, there might be as few as 3-4 wavelengths around the globe at our latitude. As spring approaches, that number increases and hence the wavelength is shorter.
  13. Weeklies mean snowfall through D46 is 15-20”. YMMV on verification.
  14. Half of those handful of eps members that skunk us have more snow to our south lol
  15. Yeah without snark, a 7-8” mean AND median for MBY with it basically all after D7 is bananas.
  16. Sounds like -PNA torch? Nina Feb climo?
  17. Temp going nowhere today. Still 29
  18. Puxatawney Phil agrees with an epic February
  19. God bless Tropical Tidbits for accumulating freezing rain at 10:1 ratios
  20. There will be rain on this rainy day, right?
  21. That’s impressive given it’s all D10+
  22. Where’s my rain??
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