WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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GL low screws the boundary layer: A Mid-Atlantic story.
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60F+ dewpoints can go right back to hell
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I recorded 0.1" from that. Had hours of non-accumulating snow. Twice had heavy enough bursts to coat the mulch, but then it remelted when it slacked off.
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My senior year at Penn State was 2002-03. We had a white Halloween, Thanksgiving, Christmas, V-day, and Easter.
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Seems reasonable
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And 18z gfs flipped back to more progressive and a much colder look next week. Should be interesting at least.
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3 major globals all got even slower with the boundary moving east this weekend and next week. Now they cutoff or nearly cutoff the trough in the Southwest. Depending where it sets up, we could get a bunch of rain or a lot of warm/cloudy days.
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@toolsheds that’s rough and about what I’d have guessed. I don’t know what teachers with school age kids are supposed to do. @losetoa6 I hear that but it’s a lot. Think this year may cause us to lose good teachers from the workforce. 70hr weeks for months while adding in stress from childcare or elder care and general 2020 anxiety is a ton to manage.
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I’m very curious to see how hybrid goes. Seems like a ton of work for the teachers. Our elementary teacher friend in HoCo said she’s working 70 hours per week managing virtual learning alone.
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I’ll take what the CFS is offering for DJF though.
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38F. One tiny frost patch in the grass, but 99% dew.
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In Sykesville for baseball and there’s a gorgeous sunset.
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The globals all spitting out some interesting solutions near D10 with possible tropical systems and early season cold air.
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Contrails or chemtrails?
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Nothing here so far, but that batch moving in from the south looks to probably just clip me.
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And 18z goes back east. Haven’t heard about 18z euro. Good thing this isn’t snow or we’d be going nuts.
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Like 0.1-0.3” for I-95, less northwest and more southeast. Stripe of 1” for southern eastern shore of MD and DE into southeast VA. Consensus is definitely putting the max east of the metro corridor, but euro is by itself with minimal rain in the metro area.
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Yup. Probably lots of 30s and maybe a freeze for IAD?
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Non-euro models are back to a moderate rain event tonight and tomorrow. Euro edged west, but still the driest model for the metro areas and suburbs.
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We had over 1” on November 15th, 2018.
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Good chance for our first midnight high of the season for tomorrow! edit...more fully, models other than the euro brought back rain for the metro stress tonight and tomorrow. Also looks like some widespread 30s Saturday morning.
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Gfs caves to euro on both Friday’s anafrontal event and the energy getting dumped out west in the mid range.
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Euro and, to some extent the ggem, dump the energy out west and don’t progress it through. Gfs and gefs keep things more progressive so we get periodic cold shots.
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Our average forecasts: DCA 11/11/20 BWI 10/29/20 IAD 10/26/20 RIC 11/6/20 Tie: 83.6 So far the tiebreaker value is 83F from IAD on the 7th. Based on the projections, that's probably going to be the final value, but we'll see. Chances for the first freeze, at least at IAD, look pretty decent over the next 10 days. 2020 First Freeze Contest.xlsx
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0.25” at home and steady light rain here at Deep Creek
