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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. January’s gonna be rockin’
  2. You can see the temps cooling the last 48-72 hours of the ensembles. If that H5 look is right, temps will cool down fast. Point is, the torch looks temporary and so far the return to a better look isn’t getting can-kicked.
  3. Don’t think we’re going to get digital blue as a Christmas present, but we did get continued good H5 looks at D13 or so overnight. Better than coal and onions in our stocking I guess.
  4. High of 18, now back to 14. Also a high in the teens here in bel air. Merry Christmas weenies!
  5. -EPO chills our source region, but most of our big snowstorms do not occur with a -EPO.
  6. That plot shows the MJO hanging weakly in phase 7. MJO hasn’t really been a factor lately so I wouldn’t overly worry. A lot of variability the last 60 days or so (maybe even closer to 90) has been driven by the PAC jet and the EPO. All seems to be cycling on roughly 2 week timescales. We can already see signs of the EPO switching back to negative.
  7. Yeah, the same longer range ensembles suggest the Scandinavian ridge also redevelops, which could/should move toward the NAO space later in January.
  8. DCA struggles obviously in radiational cooling situations. This is mostly CAA, so temps are a lot more even inside and outside the UHI.
  9. 4.8/-9 now for MBY which is also the low. Lows at the airports so far: BWI: 7 RIC: 9 IAD: 7 DCA: 9 (!!!)
  10. Down to 8/-7. Don’t think subzero is reachable, but could be 2-4F in the morning.
  11. Been awhile. Never got below 10 last winter. Probably 2019 since single digits.
  12. 12/-4. Feeling pretty good about single digits lol.
  13. Cold wind and salt on the roads and cars giving a deep winter feel
  14. Saw a couple trees down around Columbia, one pretty big
  15. I’m grasping for anything to get on the board lol
  16. Euro and gfs both suggest a dusting-1” early Tuesday. Maybe that can juice up a little?
  17. Temp down to 32. Flash freeze imminent! Can it keep snowing for a little and accumulate?
  18. Come on baby, daddy wants to slant stick 0.1”…
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