
John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
That's a odd result. PWATs are about the same as they are over Missouri where 3-4 inches falls. The 700mb to below 850 is saturated per the sounding. The dry air is just above the surface up to about 3000 feet.- 582 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I've managed to get above 0, up to 7 degrees now. Had about 1/2 inch of snow overnight. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
The ICON seems to get the clipper into the region. Looked good across Kentucky and North Central Tennessee. No maps available on tropical for snowfall for some reason.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the RGEM and to some extent, the UKIE are on board with the clipper. The GFS/NAM remain skeptical. Not sure that isn't what we want to see after they both schooled the American models with the system that just passed.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's been killing it this fall and early winter.- 582 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
It coated the cars that had been driven today. It's tiny flakes about as big around as pencil erasers. But quite a lot of them. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Once it got dark it started snowing and has been for a couple of hours. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Dipped to -4 but bounced back to -2. TWC shows my temp going up until midnight then dropping back into tomorrow morning. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I peaked at -1 unless it goes up as the night progresses. Sun is down behind the ridge to my west now and any warming is over for today from it. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
John1122 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
There are two modes for New Years, I'm in Chattanooga and it snows back home, or I'm in Chattanooga and there's a severe weather event for New Years. There's rarely any middle ground.- 582 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sitting at -2. Below 0 highs are extremely rare here. I can remember maybe 2 or 3 of them. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I hate to hear that. It's happened to me before. Hopefully you can find the line and get it thawed. I've had to wait out entire cold spells in the past. Now if it's below 10, I leave water dripping in multiple faucets. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just had a -31 degree windchill in a gust. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
It just won't warm any. Not sure if I'm going to get above 0 today at this rate. It's now -3. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Currently-2 with about 1/3rd inch of snow added since I went to bed last night. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Small, painful flakes out there. 21 degrees and it's like getting sandblasted. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Extremely strong wind and blinding snow right now. Probably 35+ gusts. The radar snow is about to race away though. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Around 1/2 inch down. Temp is 27 degrees. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
34 and a dusting down. Flakes are getting smaller and the snow heavier. Winds are NW at 21 with gusts to 28 -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I assume that the snow started in the low 40s because the 850s are frigid, above the top of the Plateau and they moved faster than the surface cold. Basically all levels above 3500 feet were able to transport the cold overhead faster than the low level cold could creep through. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Now 39. Flakes are quarter sized and sideways. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I've switched to heavy snow at 41 degrees. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Finally starting to turn the corner. That limb wrecking burst of wind must have been the front passing. Temp dropped 1.6 degrees in the last 5 minutes. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The wind is just sending limbs all over the place here. Unfortunately is a strong SW wind transporting very heavy rain over my area. The GFS was very very wrong with the precip location in regards to the front. The worst performance of the models this time out, after being one of the best before. Looks like the RGEM, which was skeptical for this area as soon as it got into 84 hour range, might be the most right. The HRRR was way off too. I'm almost 30 degrees warmer than it had me as midnight approached on runs earlier today. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
John1122 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The cold hung up majorly on the Plateau and the precip shield got back out ahead of the front. Hoping for a good dusting at this point. The cold push will eventually get here but it's dropped it's speed by 75 percent over the last three hours.