Jump to content

John1122

Members
  • Posts

    11,635
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by John1122

  1. Weather Next would probably be 3-6 inches for most areas from maybe just each of Nashville and East, with 5-8 over far eastern areas.
  2. It is pouring quarter + sized flakes out there right now. It's wringing every drop of moisture out. 2 very fluffy inches since last night.
  3. It's on StormVista and I believe 12z comes out at 2pm.
  4. I'm hoping the Google AI model doesn't move SE. It's been steady with at least 2-4 inches for more of the area, and 4-8 for parts.
  5. The Canadian run that did so well for us, the vort is probably 75-100 miles SW of the Euro and it's stronger than the Euro. That little bit was the difference between 4-8 inches for most of East Tennessee and a couple of snow showers. It's a fine line. Hopefully everything is too far east currently, because if we needed it to be east it would truck west.
  6. It's weaker and further east than 06z, so we end up dry.
  7. The Euro is a whiff that run except for the Smokies/NE mountains.
  8. SE shift by the Euro AI, I expect the Euro will follow. Hopefully it can work back this way but not holding my breath.
  9. That was about a 300 mile NW shift by the Canadian.
  10. If this one doesn't trend NW, but not too far, it will truly be another epic failure. I saw a discussion about the NW trend being because models mistake something from range, I think it was something to do with sea temperatures maybe, that causes them to almost universally place systems too far SE. Which is why we see the NW trend constantlly.
  11. There's a band actually showing up on radar that has been rolling over me for the last half hour. Sky is full of nickels, it looks foggy out.
  12. ICON was decent for the East, 40 north, and still snowing at the end. It was possibly going where the other Models went at 0z. Everything is shifting NW but most of us may be too far west.
  13. Nickels and quarters still flying. I've picked up a fluffy 3/4ths inch. Temp is 15. Its so dry a mouse fart will melt it tomorrow.
  14. The Euro obliterates far eastern areas and SWVa, those of us on the 75 corridor don't fare very well.
  15. Obviously can't trust the Euro at all, but what a crazy cold snow event. Alaska ratios.
  16. I'm honestly not sure. I was also driving north at the time. The atmosphere was apparently slightly different on/above the mountain than it was a few miles south in town. That different allowed ice nuclei to form.
  17. Spent a couple hours at a friend's house this evening. Heavy freezing mist to light freezing rain across town. Coming home, as soon as I gained about 300 feet in elevation over town it switched to snow. Tiny flakes but thick.
  18. Best hope, Google's AI model gives us a little hope, and it's been the best model this winter.
  19. Current QPF for mby after this system through 360. Euro .23 over 14 days. GFS .20 GFSAI .3 Euro AI .20 EPS AI .63 EPS .38 GEFS .70 Canadian Ens .70 We are 1 to 1.5 inches BN across all modeling for the period. Hopefully something changes but it's went from wild snow totals to grim drought conditions. We just have to hope the drought solution is incorrect but sadly, we've experienced cold/dry once already this winter.
×
×
  • Create New...