John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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That would be a winter storm from yesteryear on the GFS. Inland runner that just snows and snows for hours on the eastern half of the area, after front end blasting the west side. Some mixing issues again that run, south of 40, but less than 18z because it wasn't quite as amped before it cut up the coastal plain.
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GFS is another wild one.
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I'd take the ICON, obviously rather have the GFS.
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Still below freezing but it's pouring down so hard the accumulation has backed way off. Still spun all the way up my driveway.
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Still holding on to below freezing temps.
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It didn't, it just took a while longer to get here than 12z.
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Moderate rain has returned and the temperature is 29.8.
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Mega ice storm for the areas along the Apps and south of 40 in East Tennessee that run. Topped off by a couple inches of snow or more.
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It worked itself out for us all almost. I hate seeing the little micro climate issues for folks.
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I hope that downsloping doesn't effect the eastern areas like the GFS just showed. Nor the warm nose the southern areas. We just need one boardwide storm where no one has issues! It was close last year but those same eastern areas weren't quite cold enough.
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Actually warm nosing the east.
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I think it's gonna peter out for Eastern areas like the Euro, but I hope not.
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I think Western areas are close to locking this one in.
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The ICON was making a go for most of us, crushed western areas and was snowing in the midstate and north of 40 in the East as the run ended. Mixed south of 40 in East Tn with ground temps in the 20s.
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You should get some back side flakes if the NAM is correct. It shows some right over your area.
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The Tennessee Valley, happy for anyone from any state on the map here to post their obs personally, especially any the yellow touches. Not sure when precip may move back here, but still only 30.1 degrees. I wasn't expecting such a lull.
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No, it's 28.6 degrees here.
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Sad to see all these runs of a storm getting sheared out like the 12z Euro. But I guess quite literally everything is on the table still, as models are showing every possibility from run to run.
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UKIE is suppressed after being close to perfect at 0z. It's going to be a hard week of model runs unless they can by some miracle get a clearer picture of the different bits of energy.
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Incredibly tough to model situation as little pieces of energy fly around, each model run seems to handle them with a small difference. That makes a big difference in the final outcome. The Canadian seems to be playing catch up, as it has often shown what the other models were showing the day before. It's slower and more amped and would be a major ice/sleet storm for us. Hopefully it's not correct.
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The precip is about to lift out of here soon. I expect when it does, I may go above freezing.
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Extremely icy now as freezing rain is predominant with some sleet mixed. Temp has went down 1.6 degrees with a stiff ne wind gust on occasion. Looks like the rgem is winning here as well. The NAM showed very little ice here at all, as did the hrrr. I've already exceeded what they showed.
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The ICON shifted way north and nailed Tennessee. The 06z GFS ended up building a glacier late run after the next weekend storm passed (oddly except for all of Knox County) so the pattern may be loaded or the GFS may just be loaded.
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Now getting huge sleet chunks. Probably about to go to zr. These things are 1/8th in across.
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Switching back and forth between sleet and snow still. No freezing rain as yet.
