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Everything posted by John1122
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There wasn't nearly as much sleet as most models predicted, which is why I've gotten so much freezing rain. Especially crazy sleet totals the Canadian with some of its wonky runs. It got the idea of the mix storm first, but had too much sleet. But it often overdoes cold, so I assume that happened here.
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I just measured on a metal fence and a tree branch. I've got .31 ice accrual. Light freezing rain and up to 29 now.
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My warmest temperature for the after tomorrow on my 2 week forecast from TWC is 38/22 on February 7th. During that entire two weeks, it has zero precipitation. It's almost comical at that point.
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The horseshoe effect that shows up in East Tennessee at times, is also reflected by an even larger horseshoe at times like this. It's going to be much colder to our southwest, west, southeast and east by tomorrow morning. It's crazy how often systems cut in our area vs up the other side of the mountains. I'd guess for every system that goes from Tallahassee to Raleigh, 25 cut through some part of Tennessee.
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I hear chainsaws running up the road from me. Fortunately still have power.
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I was warming up but now it's stopped again.
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The 2 inches of snow and sleet are now about 3/4ths inch of ice. My dogs are around 35 pounds and they didn't sink in the snow, they walked on top of the crust without breaking through.
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This is insidious freezing rain. It's light, and with temps in the mid 20s, there no run off.
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One of the models, maybe the NAM was showing that the other day but it lost it.
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Half sleet, half freezing rain now. Up to 23 degrees.
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Current road conditions. Someone had already spun across my driveway. The sleet has changed the snow consistency that had fallen from powder to much more compacted and thick feeling.
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I'm surprised they aren't icing at 29 degrees.
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2 inches of snow down. Have now switched to heavy sleet with a few flakes.
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Very heavy snow falling now. Flake size has increased. Not sure if that's the turn signal or not.
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The 18z 3k had me at 27 at 4pm. The HRRR keeps adjusting down as it runs each hour. Two hours ago it had 4pm at 25.
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I meant 00z last night. It ran then and showed 3 northern stream waves but 12z didn't run.
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The GEM had 3 clippers in about 36 hours to end the week at 12z. It seems it didn't run at 12z today.
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Flake size staying around nickel at best but lots of them now. Very high ratio powder. About the best contrast I have is taking a photo towards a vehicle. Curious if the big flakes come right before sleet or not.
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3/4ths of an inch or so, still in a dry spot.
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The 3k has me at 25 at 3pm. The HRRR 24.
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It's wetbulbiing. My dew point was 4 earlier. It's up to 18 now. I'll probably bottom at 19 or 20.
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