John1122
-
Posts
11,253 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by John1122
-
The EPS is loaded for the forum as well with a mean of 5 to 9 inches across the forum. Due to the nature of ensembles, they will usually be lighter and lower qpf than op models, as invariably some ensembles will be light or even blanks.
-
Behind the system at 12z vs 0z.
-
Not sure what happens that Euro run. It handles the cold bizarrely. At 12z the temperatures after the system passed were in the low 10s or colder Monday morning. Now they are in the lower 30s across eastern Tennessee. It's strange.
-
Basically along 40 and south has about .5 to .7 freezing rain on top of that 6 to 7 inches of snow.
-
Euro warm noses all the way to just north of 40 this run. Lots of ice just below the pink areas.
-
Euro is going to be a monster again. 1.25 to 2 inches of QPF from Southern Kentucky to the Northern Alabama/Georgia area.
-
Euro has a 1054 hp.
-
I think the Canadian is off it's rocker. It's amped up and throwing out 4+ inches of frozen QPF in spots. It gives me 2.5 inches of QPF as sleet. That would be 7.5 inches of sleet. Then it caps it off with an inch of freezing rain.
-
All in all. The Canadian is similar to it's 12z run. 1-2+ inches of ZR over a lot of the area, heavy sleet over areas just NW of that zr, and Kentucky wins the snow awards.
-
Raining hard far east on the Canadian. Massive ice storm Plateau and west.
-
Canadian is very warm.
-
Wasn't even over. Southeastern areas 18-20 inches.
-
That run 8-10 Memphis area. 10 Nashville 14+ Tri Cities 14-15 Plateau 16-17 Chattanooga 15+ Knoxville.
-
The southeast areas get 9-11 inches and then switch to freezing rain.
-
Chattanooga getting the biggest of it so far.
-
Snow shield is 100-150 miles north of 18z so far.
-
The GFS looks like it's more connected to the Baja Low. Likely to look more like the Icon if it continues.
-
The ICON was still more progressive than the Euro, but managed to dump 10-12 inches. Chattanooga gets nearly an inch of QPF on there with temps from 26 to 29.
-
I've seen more for my area, but never for the entire forum footprint.
-
Ratio European. Still rolling state wide at this time.
-
That Euro was the whole hog. 12+ most everywhere and still snowing.
-
GFS vs its ensembles. Normally the ensembles are much drier than the Op.
-
The GFS has zero support. Not from it's AI, not from it's ensembles, which are very wet. It's precip shield is almost 200 miles south of the GEFS through 120.
-
My wife's phone weather has went for it. She sent me this. It also shows 4-5 inches for the next period.
-
The NBM seems to show the most likely and heaviest snow North of 40 into SE Kentucky and SWVa. The GFS and ICON blend, shifted south by 100-150 miles, would produce that image on the left.
