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Everything posted by John1122
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the band is beginning to sink into West Knoxville. Oak Ridge looks to be getting nailed currently. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
1am down to 17. I'll get very gusty winds that blow snow, and then it calms down for a while. It's mostly blown snow off the trees. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I can't tell which way it's going but the band that sat over me and dumped on me looks like it's made it's way down to Oak Ridge and Clinton. If it's sinking south, it should over take Knoxville soon. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nearly 5 inches into it, MRX upgraded my 1/2 inch forecast to 1-2 inches. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I would think it would behave in a normal counter clockwise way. But the edge nearest moved north, south, then east over the last 30 minutes. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm still not sure which way anything is moving or if it's moving at all on radar. It just seems to dance in different directions on the different sites I use. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The radar cleared over me, but I'm in a thick fog of small flakes. Think the snow is falling from below radar range here. Midnight update. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I strongly recommend never sleeping as long as snow is falling. It's what I do. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ratios are really getting up there now. I'd guess 17:1 or maybe 20:1 I've had just over .25 liquid equivalent so far. Most modeling had me maxing out around that amount. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's still rolling here. This is a shock to me. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
All modeling still shows 4-8 inches in the WSW area. Most show me getting 2-3 more inches, it not sure if things pulled back east a little on them or it just that part of the snow they were giving me has already fallen. Of the models that have ran at 0z, the fv3, which had been giving me the least, gives me 5 more inches, which is the most of the 0z modeling so far. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The HRRR really gets rolling in the valley in a few hours and looks heavier down 81, and 75 through Knoxville and south by 2, 3, 4am etc. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
9pm status -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This was always going to be a slow burn for everyone. It's snowed for almost 6 hours here to get 2.5 inches and I'm over performing what I expected. It's going to be a duration event more than a huge burst event. Further east may get the burst. But for most it's more that it's going to be really cold and average probably 1/4th to 1/2 inch an hour for 10 to 16 more hours. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Mine were just tiny tiny flakes for an hour or two but they went up to nickels, then quarters and have been a mix since. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
They could try that but the text said half! I think it even said less than a half inch. 911 scanner here is already starting with the donuts on the highway calls. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I guess it's NW flow with the Arctic air but it's still rolling quarters and nickels here. Down to 21.6 degrees. It's extremely fluffy, a normal snowball sized handful gets you about a ping pong ball sized one. I've somewhat overperformed the half inch forecast now.- 261 replies
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Thank you. The general radar sites look wonky.
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Can anyone tell which way the snow is actually moving? I don't have radar scope. But it looks like it's moving SW to NE then NW to SE over my area. Strange looking. According to the HRRR it should start moving NE to SW by 9 or 10.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Always try to add these for time/temp stamp when going back later to look at these. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Heaviest snow of the day so far right now. Quarters rolling down with probably just under 1/2 mile vis. So between moderate and heavy snow. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I convert them to gifs and do it. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Steady nickels falling. Close to an inch down now. 24 degrees. -
The 18z Euro maintained its 4+ Plateau east, with 2.5 in Chattanooga.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Per the HRRR it shouldn't even be snowing now. But around 9pm it shows snow backing from SW Va across east Tennessee and it is at its heaviest and most widespread from probably 3am to 9 or 10am.
