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Everything posted by EasternLI
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Have been thinking LF somewhere very near CT/RI boarder since yesterday morning. Seems on track to me, give or take. Boatload of rain on the menu here today I think.
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6Z Still a lot of spread. But a decent cluster with the MTP track.
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00z eps I've been liking that near MTP track since yesterday while quietly observing. Would make this a big rainmaker where I am. Interesting couple days on tap.
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Didn't see 00z euro ensembles posted. Personally IMHO,after absorbing models for 2 days, thinking LF very near CT, RI border with this when all is said and done.
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MEI is interesting. At -1.53 it's more negative than any time last year. But also, have to go back about a decade for a comparable number. https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/mei/data/meiv2.data
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La Nina watch in effect. https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/july-2021-enso-update-la-niña-watch
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Smithtown area has got to be getting rocked right now. Judging by radar and the fact I hear constant thunder from that thing here in Riverhead.
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Eps looks snowy. Didn't look at the Canadian. This is a pretty impressive ensemble mean. And the end of the run is retrograding Scandinavian blocking to Greenland.
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Good grief the 06z gefs long range.
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Obs and nowcast Super Bowl Sunday 4A-6P Feb 7, 2021
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Going to wrap it up with 6" here. Good early call by Upton with the 4-8. -
Obs and nowcast Super Bowl Sunday 4A-6P Feb 7, 2021
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
2-3+ per hour? LFG! -
Obs and nowcast Super Bowl Sunday 4A-6P Feb 7, 2021
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice Mod snow going on in Riverhead. -
We're in the midst of a - AO winter. First time in forever.
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sure, here's the link. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/snowbands/view.php?cycle=2019110818&model=HREFv2&domain=ALL&field=snowobj_byhour&thresh=0.1 -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
HREF snow bands from the 00Z run. Pretty sweet look for LI and a good part of NJ. -
Well, the 18z gefs is deep winter until further notice. Another retrograding -nao in the long range too.
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2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That looks a little bullish to me. But hey, let's see what happens today. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Tossed. We're sitting in a good spot this morning IMO. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
EasternLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Would be a quick hitting smokeshow over here Sunday morning. Come on nam!! -
Fab Feb if the EPS is right. Active with -nao right through. Some +pna too lol
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When the pattern breaks the gfs.
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Wild guess, but looking at some stuff this morning. Window for a big one 15th - 18th timeframe. JMO.
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It does look like there's a big time AO tank on the horizon.
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Wait, snowman started the Feb thread?? I'm going to get a new shovel.
