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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. My driveway was already nearly impossible to walk on when I got home. Solid glaze on everything. Gonna be a long night.
  2. Not really. I think we'll go to sleet but I doubt snow for very long. Some spots north of town up towards lansing/whitetop probably have a better chance for staying snow longer. I expect most folks west of town to go to rain at some point too if Boone itself doesn't. I hope I'm pleasantly surprised by a few inches of white in the morning though.
  3. I've seen some sleet pellets and snowflakes mix in. Not much yet. Coming down decent at Walmart right now.
  4. Don't know if it can be believed but the last HRRR is a primarily snow event for Boone with some brief swaps to sleet/zr. Narrow zone of zr/ip in the southern mountains along the best CAD zones. Anybody know how it's handling thermals currently? I seem to recall it showing this before and failing miserably.
  5. 12z 3k NAM would be a mess along the escarpment assuming those qpf values verified. Worth noting it greatly overdid those areas last month and the cutoff on the other side wasn't nearly as significant as it modeled either.
  6. Yep solid dusting already. Few slick spots this morning but they're out putting salt down.
  7. 0z gfs/fv3 are a half inch or less of qpf for most of this thread through 18z Sunday. The 3km NAM is exceptionally dry outside the favored upslope areas where it is well known to overdo amounts (it was 1"+ too high along the escarpment in the northern mountains during the last event).
  8. 3km NAM barely gets any precip into WNC through 60. Outlier but its usually the wettest model.
  9. The gfs is really the only model showing a good storm. Euro and fv3 are unimpressive though the euro is around a quarter inch of ice with a couple inches of snow for a large portion of us.
  10. 12z gfs is a solid event. Seeing more eps members with bigger totals overnight too. Mean jumped an inch from 3 to 4 for Boone.
  11. Next weekends potential definitely looks nice. Would love for it to slow down a day for personal purposes but anything is welcome after the recent flood.
  12. 12z fv3 with a quick thump on Thursday for most of us. Won't be much. EPS hinting at something around the 9th too. Fun times ahead soon no doubt.
  13. Yeah we're all snow. Not sticking but I had somebody call out already because they're "snowed in" lol. Gotta love it.
  14. It was 37 on the bypass with slushy rain when I came through about 12:30. Still cold rain here at the store in Vilas though. Yeah frito lay just told me it's dumping on the bypass. Always the first place to get it.
  15. Several customers reporting a changeover in Boone in the last few minutes.
  16. Ride up to newfound gap and you'll have a much better shot. That said the models have kinda backed off the wraparound snow as of the 12z runs. We'll see though.
  17. Little flurries here now. Nothing major. Perfect snowman weather.
  18. Lucky. If I could make it out my driveway right now I'd be lookin for him.
  19. Hit the big 1-5. Path out to my snow measuring spot is a trench.
  20. Few minutes ago. Absolutely dumping still. Probably 1.5-2"/hr rates right now.
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