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nzucker

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Everything posted by nzucker

  1. I think I've seen this before although I only went to one conference. Was that 2/78? How old was she? So sorry for your loss....
  2. Yeah the Euro had like 9-12" while reality was more 4-8" with lower amounts right near the coast. Mid-level warming was an issue as even the Bronx mixed with sleet a bit.
  3. 08-09 was a pretty good winter in Dobbs Ferry....8" on 12/19, 6.5" on 1/26, and 10" on 3/1 were the major events. Last accumulation was 1" on 3/20. February was largely a dud like this winter, except for one 3" event on 2/3 I believe. I left for Chile so I missed the 3/1 event. Very cold January that year....most stations were -3F to -4F. Possible some light snow on Friday before the transition begins to a milder pattern. If that goes for like 2 weeks, it'll be around 3/25 that the next trough approaches. Pretty late, but not totally impossible to see another light to moderate snowfall, considering we had 6" on 4/2 last year. Not sure about single digits...NWS seems to be backing off on lows and has us mostly around 20F. April 2013 also had a cold, dry stretch with radiational cooling nights that brought us into the 20s. As did April 2016 and, of course, last year w/ the 4/2 snow and a missed threat on 4/9. Warmth didn't arrive until the mini heat wave in May as I recall running the heat quite deep into April.
  4. I love Riverdale and have seen every simple episode. Lots of good intrigue and some very skilled young actors. Loved the reveal of the Black Hood as well as the ongoing uncertainty between Hermione and Hiram Lodge as to who is truly evil. We also don't know how closely the town's events parallel the game of Griffons&Gargoyles which the town is set on playing. Very sad to see Luke Perry gone. He was only 52 as well, and a main character in Riverdale. Don't know how his gruff, tough love manner will be replaced.
  5. Even the 3/1-3/2 storm seemed to have a slightly better airmass. That was a very powdery snow. This week looks cold with multiple days not reaching 32F...my forecast show 31/18, 28/18, 30/22. NWS did back off on some of the morning cold. But should be the coldest stretch by far until next winter, and particularly impressive for March. I'm still not sold on a March 1960/1967/1994/2015 due to the models showing a strong warming trend as the -EPO breaks down. 07-08 was more of a SWFE. Yesterday was a coastal. We also had much colder weather this winter than in 07-08, aside from the brutal March 08, which approached record lows where I lived in Poughkeepsie. But I agree that the storm track to the west was very similar to what we saw in 07-08; yesterday was the exception, not the rule.
  6. I have about 18" this season off an average just around 30." We need one major storm to approach average. Doubt it's in the cards, but with this cold -EPO pattern, a few smaller storms are possible before the breakdown post 3/15. Doubt we saw our last flakes.
  7. Yeah I have 1.5"+ in Bronx. Looks nice out there. Expecting 4-6". Three nights in a row of snow in a snowless winter, who would have thought.
  8. We've had a lot of cold Marches recently....March 2013 had two significant snowfalls, 2014 started with a week of highs in the 20s/low 30s with a storm missing South, March 2015 began with 20" snowpack at Central Park that lingered through much of the month, March 2017 had a 10" snow/sleet storm, and March 2018 had 4 Nor'easters. I don't expect us to come close to those max temps Mar 1-10...next week looks extremely cold with 850s of -18C. I think we start torching with a GoA low as the -EPO breaks down after 3/15. But until then it's deep winter with several major snow threats.
  9. Wow, I have 13" in the Bronx. I guess you missed the meat of the November storm. That's a really low total for 700' elevation near the Putnam border...you probably average like 45" around there...
  10. They closed in Hastings for this? I'm from Dobbs, and I know it's a very hilly area as I grew up at 350' elevation near the Juhring Estate...but a 2 hour delay would have sufficed here. 2" snowfall that's ending before schools open, and it's March so it will melt faster than a couple months ago.
  11. A little over an inch now in Pelham Bay.
  12. Yeah, solid inch here. Measurement taken at 6:30 and it's been snowing steadily since.
  13. Yup, everything's covered here in the Bronx. About a half inch, maybe slightly more than the other night. Will be a picturesque sunrise.
  14. Looks like we picked up another half inch here. Have had a couple light snowfalls here recently. Beautiful out there.
  15. Amazing to see how much more snow some of the significantly warmer winters had: 16-17 had 20.5" at 39.3F (3F warmer than this year) and 15-16 had 31.9F at 41.0F (nearly 5F warmer than this year). Not that it's been a cold winter....we'll probably finish DJF around +1.5F, but it shows that temperatures weren't the driver of the low snowfall.
  16. Wasn't a total bust here, had about 2". It's not compacted down to 1.5" with the sleet and Freezing rain, but it was a decent storm. Made it too icy for me to go to work and tutor this afternoon, had to move the session to Friday.
  17. 31F here with freezing rain after 2" of snow. (Pelham Pkwy)
  18. Well we're all looking for snowstorms on the horizon, denier or not, lol. It's been that kind of winter.
  19. A slowing Gulf Stream/thermohaline circulation could actually leave eastern Northern America (and parts of western Europe) colder than average while the tropics bake. Some studies have shown slow-downs in this circulation pattern induced by the large influx of cold, fresh water into the NATL from the melting of the Greenland ice sheet. I don't know the impact on Nor'easters (except we can't buy one this year), but the temperature effect is more obvious.
  20. Right, the increase in precipitation may have a greater impact on snowfall than the increase in temperatures, especially in colder areas. We've seen this with some very high QPF storms in recent years like the March 2017 mixed event and the January 2016 Nor'easter. However, eventually the warming temperatures will become too much, and snowfall will start to decrease; most models show this happening in the second half of the 21st century. If NYC's climate does warm to the current climate of the AR/MO border, as shown in the NYT article, or even to the climate of DC, there will be a substantial decrease in snowfall.
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