We need to see something now. the recent runs that have shown events either closing off too far south or weak waves heading harmlessly off the mid-atlantic. It appears those are oal posts for the last 24 hours. Need to see something better than that soon.
If we don't see the system across models on the 12z fun today, I'll be REALLY doubtful anything will happen. If nothing with tonight's 00z run, I'm putting a nail in it.