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moneypitmike

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Everything posted by moneypitmike

  1. moneypitmike
    The RAP and HRRR maps are getting a lot of rain here....not sure about the soundings here. Meanwhile, it's going to be 48* in my new stomping grounds. I wonder what will be falling there?
  2. moneypitmike
    You're closer to the coast there than I am here......Bath is above the peninsulas. I'm north of Rte 1, just below Merrymeeting Bay.
  3. moneypitmike
    Lots of smiles for people
  4. moneypitmike
    ICON has about half or less of the NAM's qpf, and the Reggie would have a number of people happy.
  5. moneypitmike
    I appear to be on the modeled mix line.....hopefully I'll land on the 'haves' rather than the have-not's.
  6. moneypitmike
    LOL
  7. moneypitmike
    HRRR a little RAPish
  8. moneypitmike
    I'm really eager to see the model performance grades on this after the fact.
  9. moneypitmike
    what a hoot this would be.
  10. moneypitmike
    Same here. Forecast is for 19, but I think that means diddly for what happens tomorrow afternoon.
  11. moneypitmike
    Thanks!
  12. moneypitmike
    what's the best site to find soundings? I need to figure if/how much I mix. TIA
  13. moneypitmike
    Just Jeff hunting.
  14. moneypitmike
    Congrats. It's really close here. I'm on the eastern edge of heavier amounts and the drop off from taint appears to be right on Route 1. North of there 'appears' to be okay--south has a little reduction. I'm a mile north of route 1.
  15. moneypitmike
    We hope with fingers crossed.
  16. moneypitmike
    It's really the warmth that's ticking up on the models rather than the precip. There have not been major changes on those.
  17. moneypitmike
    All the model snow maps have improved for my hood (except maybe ECt as I have not seen that yet). 6-11 across them by my read. I'll believe it when I'm shoveling Wednesday. EDIT: EC totals are pretty meh.
  18. moneypitmike
    If I finagle the GFS amounts that it's tickling here, that'll be awesome. I'm not confident the qpf will merit that. It's tantalizingly close though. If the system can manage a little more latitude before shuffling east, all would be good.
  19. moneypitmike
    And for the northern folks:
  20. moneypitmike
    I don't like this range map at all. At least raise the floor on the two high zones.
  21. moneypitmike
    Off-topic: It's incredibly icy out there this morning. Be careful out there!
  22. moneypitmike
    Jeff and Lava are reading this with much interest. In addition to ensemble spread in QPF, other points of uncertainty exist around the development of a quasi-stationary mesoscale snow band and the inland penetration of the coastal front. A mesoscale snowband acts to rob moisture from the northwest side of the band creating a tight gradient in snowfall while areas under the band could see up to a foot of snow.
  23. moneypitmike
    Tossing NAM's, this looks increasingly like it will be a pretty minor event in Maine unless we can get some type of enhancements.
  24. moneypitmike
    Looks like qpf is getting reduced on the NAM (no suprise) and ICON. At least in Maine. Alas.
  25. moneypitmike
    Cool. Where?
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