moneypitmike

It really is. Even with that, I ended up doing pretty well, so I won't complain. About an inch so far.

Fingers crossed for where they land.

I think the 22z HRRR is the last run that would encompass essentially the entire event in Maine. I'm about 5-10 miles outside the jackpot area. Temp tickling down very slowly. 30.4*

wow---an inch already? That's a great start. Send it up here.

From the updated AFD: The latest WPC Snowband Probability Tracker indicates that snowfall rates will begin to increase to between 1-2"/hr by around 11 pm across southwestern ME and these rates will persist through around 8 am Wednesday.

Looks similar to here. Snowing good--not great flakes, but they're getting the job done. I had cooked on the grill half an hour ago, and already closed grill cover is covered again. Not bad considering how hot it must have been.

GFS has us rocking from about midnight - 7:00am.

Things whitened up quickly.....had a burst of moderate snow with great flakes. Short-lived and now down to steady inefficient ones. At least we dipped below freezing. 31.6*

Anyone know what/when triggers the new snow maps from the NWS offices? They seem to update frequently. Personally, I endorse this one that just came out.

And it begins.....first flakes.

RRFS also likes Jeff.

Still (barely) above freezing. Hopefully we'll avoid stickiness and manage fluff. 32.4*

HRRR through 7:00am. Should have a few hours to go beyond this.

Radar appears to be more like the HRRR than the NAM's. For whatever that's worth.

You'll even the tables somewhat on Friday.

New NAM's.

The GYX radar issue is looming large on the returns heading into Jeff. No snow for you!

He should add a + to the purple for some lucky folks.

New GYX map just came out.

I would take the Powerball over any snow. Ever.

Fun times. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Christmas comes early for snow lovers as a Norlun trough impacts Maine and New Hampshire tonight. Snow continues to spread from west to east during the late afternoon and evening hours. By late this evening and through the overnight hours, an inverted trough is expected to become stationary across the MidCoast, likely reaching westward into Casco Bay. This serves as a focus for heavy snowfall overnight, with high ratios and ideal dendritic growth conditions supporting higher snow totals. With this update, confidence has increased in much of the MidCoast experiencing the heavy snowfall, which likely reaches into the western Maine mountains and into the eastern Whites. Winter storms warnings have been expanded another tier of zones inland, where high ratios should help support higher totals. Closer to the coast, high ratio and fluffy snow is still expected, but surface temperatures around freezing likely cause the snow to become a bit stickier and settle more once it`s on the ground. In all these areas, 6-12 inches of snow is expected. Locally higher amounts are possible, and would most likely occur just back from the coast where surface temps in the 20s limit settling, and in areas of increased elevations, even if only by a few hundred feet. The heaviest snowfall rates are expected through the overnight hours, with 1-3 in/hr at times in the heavier snow bands. Reduced visibility and difficult travel conditions are expected overnight. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Snow continues into the morning hours through much of Maine. Heavy snowfall rates of 1-3 in/hr continue into the early morning commute along the coast, and then ease through the late morning and early afternoon hours. Winds increase toward the end of the snowfall event, with gusts of 20-30 mph likely to cause some blowing and drifting snow into the afternoon hours tomorrow. Temperatures also fall on the backside of the system, with temps spending most of the day in the 20s. Temperatures fall into the teens across most of the region for Christmas Eve. Then, clouds begin to move in overnight as the next shortwave moves in on northwesterly flow. Snow showers spread southeastward after midnight, likely reaching into central locations by daybreak on Christmas morning. Snowfall amounts from this would remain light, but a coating to an inch of snow is possible by daybreak across the mountains and foothills.

Just noticed they expanded the warning area. And put out a new map. Well done!

GYX has upped my p/c Afternoon Snow likely, mainly after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 32. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tonight Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 27. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Wednesday Snow, mainly before noon. High near 30. North wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Looking and feeling like snow now.

Based on the 12z runs, I'd bump Jeff's hood up.