moneypitmike

Too bad I need to miss it. I'll be long dead before another one like this comes along.

Take the "expected" up

Haven't been there since 2019 or so. Still have the place in Maine (likely for just 1-2 more years) and have a new Pit in Mattapoisett on the south coast.

That depiction says it all: any of the variance is in E/W placement. No northern opportunity depicted.

I doubt I'll muster a snow day. Even if if I somehow manage several inches here, my office in Waterville will max at 1-2.

I'll be better off tracking that one.

Last night's 6" brings me to 65" for the season. I'll probably finish around average (80-isih) while this storm will make many in SNE score the winter as an A+.

Serious question here: How would anyone make accurate accumulation measurements with this wind? I'd think it'll be an exercise in futility.

a couple tenths of that in the 128 area are from prior to the storm. The 48-hour totals will control for that.

Yup. My earlier post was that the low's placement had reached it's northern limit--the qpf field would still vary.

Good Lord.

Looks like GFS might be a little south........goodbye SE Mass--it's been nice knowing you. At least I can enjoy the sound of the plow right now.

The difference is that GYX has to make the call between 1-2 and 3-7..

I don't think this GYX AFD is accounting for the tick back SE. They do acknowledge surprise that the models aren't showing more along the Maine coast. In summary, confidence is increasing in the coastal plain seeing accumulating snowfall, with less confidence inland. Timing has also become clearer with snow likely not reaching our area until the early hours of Monday morning and lasting into early Tuesday. Amounts remain highly uncertain, but with hi-res models now in the mix we should be able to lock onto a more certain track over the next 24 hours.

So much weather. I'll be hoping the wind will keep my clear of the 1-2" we'll be getting here. At this point, I think the ensembles can only be used for a sense of "is there room to move". Everything says the limit's been reached for low placement. QPF fields may still vary a little.

`Assuming it's done, looks like we ended with 6". Very NAMish.

Providence streets won't be plowed for days.

If the final models are showing me only winding up with .5", I won't' be paying any attention to the obs thread. I'll be too disgusted.

MD/DE/NJ my gosh!

We need one direction with relatively little time. I think we'll be fringed.

That's a PHL-P-town crusher.

Dumping here

When are you going to post it?

Taking accurate snowfall measurements will be, let's say, difficult?

We'll start low here.