weatherwiz

I love you!!

Yes...although I've been having trouble accessing them. When clicking the link it directs to a bunch of folders and when clicking on the daily values it wants to open up something and the computer can't recognize the file or something. But I wish the process would be as easy as taking 7-days worth of numbers, adding, then dividing lol. One time for hahas I added up all the daily values for January 1950 and divided by 31 and checked if it equaled the Jan 1950 value...nope

Tat's what made that 2018 block all the more special...for the longevity of it that NAO pattern didn't become stale (like 2010)...it kept regenerating and supplying the goods. More often than that when a particular feature holds dominance for an extended period things become "stale"...not in March of 2018

EXACTLY!!! I'm not a fan of just having a monthly averaged value...and to extend on this not a big fan of just looking at the averaged 500 pattern for the month either. You aren't going to capture any transition periods and it's the transition periods where a weather event is likely to occur. This is precisely I would love to use the daily data and construct a weekly/bi-weekly index but that will never happen. Unless I just do it simply and take 7 and 14-days worth of values, add them, then divide by the period (7 or 14 days) but that isn't going to be accurate...I don't think. then with these values can further analyze height anomalies, etc.

This is something which is more important (IMO) then just having a flat out -NAO in place for an extended period. Would much rather see the NAO undergoing transition (preferably positive to negative)

Let the Carolina's get the snow now and we can get their severe wx this summer

It's going to be super close...definitely probably not going to be a widespread event, but despite all the shifts and uncertainties one thing which has been pretty consistent is the area getting hit pretty good where the WSW is up. But looks like the system is going to end up a bit flatter which is going to hurt quite a bit.

Anyone know what's been going on with bufkit and the completely unrealistic levels of dry air?

If we can't get snow they shouldn't be able to get it either (:

That early week wave could have a huge say in things. The airmass for much of next week is quite warm..perhaps if that early week wave comes weaker/flatter that will mute the air mass a bit...but it just seems like it might be another system with crappy airmass and then after the storm (end of week) we get the cold

Good luck man! Keep your head up

Ahhh yes that’s it!!! I want to go through there

do you know the name of this town in RI that is supposedly Haunted? It’s like just over the CT/RI border I think along route 6

Probably haunted (that's the closest emoji I could find to a ghost)

ehhh there might be a strip of higher totals than that. I've follow Eric Webb closely on Twitter b/c his long-range/ENSO information is top notch (love his Ensemble ONI Index he createD) and he is pretty aggressive for tomorrow. Think he has 5-9''

Was just talking about that at work with someone...they don't budget for it...and for precisely the same reasons you said. That is an interesting point though about cars packing down the snow...one thing that happens is they get pretty damn cold behind the system for Thursday night and not getting a while heck of a lot above freezing Friday (but the sun is on the stronger side). Icing could be a huge issue come Friday morning

I always wonder...what's the line between where these places and handle snow and where all hell breaks lose over a 1/2''. I know Atlanta falls into the later category so are they like that line or is it a bit north of them?

12z Euro looking more impressive too down there for tomorrow. Slowly catching up

I'm pretty shocked the NWS hasn't issued any advisories or watches down that way. I don't know what local outlets are saying, but I think here are going to be plenty of people who are like WTF. A scenario like the NAM would be a utter disaster down there.

yeah they had few stretches where it was pretty active but it's been brutally quiet out there. Last year I think some places had like 400-500'' in February alone

We think it's brutal here for snow...take a look at this...THAT IS UGLY. 111'' thus far...I think last year they had that on like a 3 day span in February

I've realized I haven't had a dream about severe wx in a while...typically means that we will actually get more snow. Usually by now I'm having crazy dreams about severe wx where I'm seeing tornadoes and I'm trying to take video or pictures but I'm "unable to" and then I wake up

Don't even need the bikini when it's that warm

I hope March is active. When it's active it's fun and time goes by fast...let March be active and fun b/c once March ends...boom we're only one month away from severe wx season...nuts. Let's get 20-30'' in March and then flip to 70's and 80's come April.

Can I come?