If anything the lower dews could help support some wind damage potential due to a stronger T/Td depression...especially if llvl lapse rates remain quite steep even after sunset
Not really because guidance hasn't really looked impressive enough but 12z guidance has come in a bit better so I would think we see a marginal with the 1730z update.
There are certainly going to be several shortwaves and fronts thrown our way over the next 10-14 days with that signal of troughing into the Great Lakes region so it will certainly be "active" with shower/thunderstorm chances. We will probably see a mixture of dry periods/unsettled periods with each period probably lasting 2-3 days at a time. Leading into the unsettled periods we'll see some warm/hot and humid weather and behind the fronts it will be seasonable-to-below average with very low dewpoints.
There is certainly some pretty solid elevated CAPE around. Only issue is convective coverage. Should see some storms around later on, especially western areas, and what does form could have a decent amount of lightning.
Yes, but I don't think this is one of those times.
I'm actually a big fan of west-to-east moving warm fronts and potential for severe weather along them but seems like there isn't much in the way of instability to work with along it...there is a bit of a lag between the front and much higher theta-e air.
We actually could see the severe threat persist through Sunday night...may actually be higher evening/overnight
I don't really see much going on with the warm front but the afternoon could see some nasty storms (including potential for a tornado) depending on how well we destabilize.