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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. I always forget but I am not sure if the distance requirement is the same for the classification of each type (serial, progressive, and hybrid). I think the criteria may be a bit more loose for serial derechos.
  2. Pretty impressive overlap of 3km CAPE/3km lapse rates. Couple that with a LLJ max moving overhead with a vigorous s/w moving through...viola!
  3. Kinda surprised BDL reported 64 mph. Didn’t really seem like it. I guess though there might have been a very brief burst. Have to watch video and see if I can spot it
  4. As mine gets further removed from radar it will “look like” it’s weakening
  5. Damn...70-80 mph only a few thousand feet off the ground. About to get rocked at BDL!!
  6. That is a very healthy looking line. Actually a bit more lightning than I even anticipated but there is quite a bit of llvl CAPE associated with it too
  7. yeah LCL's are super high...but looks like we see a swath of rather high effective SRH move through later on...shear is certainly there. there is enough llvl CAPE to at least peak the idea I think.
  8. HRRR for ORH and BDL...about as strong of a wind signal as you'll see here BDL
  9. Low probability for a tornado across central MA I think too
  10. I think we will have just enough instability, combined with rather cold temperatures aloft to get some lightning with this activity.
  11. yeah that's a pretty significant increase in lightning over the past half hour or so...certainly looks as impressive as previous bursts.
  12. delicious model...some of it's members include Lays; Ruffles, Doritos
  13. Thinking this looks pretty good across western MA. Could see some gusts 60-65 mph as a broken line moves through. Pretty strong signal for winds.
  14. Pretty scary that we're continuing to see model intensity guidance bump in the stronger direction. I agree with @WxWatcher007 too...not very sold on the rapid weakening prior to LF.
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