weatherwiz

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

A couple rumbles. Wiz pitching a small tent...

I can't win. When I'm home BDL gets shafted and when i go to my girlfriends in Newtown...BDL gets hit lol. Only action I've seen so far is with that cold pool like a month ago when I got hail on 3 different occasions but so far this season SUCKS. Haven't been chasing once. My girlfriend said she is down to go chasing with me once too and try it...NEED A SETUP. HOW ******* HARD IS THAT???

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

A little pop up line just to my west. Maybe a quick downpour and a rumble...then we start cooling.

that came up nicely 

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Sort of sounds like any model... if you can recognize the times they are wrong, they can be pretty damn good outside of those times.

Good point haha...though I think it's a bit easier with the HRRR than with other models

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

It's unusual, but not unprecedented. They do get pretty big June snowstorms a couple times per decade down into the 4-5k level in the northern Rockies. I recall one in June 2011 that hit them too. This storm did get snow pretty far south though....so probably rarer to get it so late into the Colorado foothills below 7k feet.

I can certainly see how if they get snow events in June they can be pretty big...especially taping into Gulf moisture and drawing that into the system. These troughs which have been pushing into the west coast have been no joke. Even tomorrow...snow levels drop in to like 7,000 feet in like CA/UT and PAC NW. Big time fire danger too in some areas of NV. 

I love the HRRR...sure it can definitely be done at times but if you're able to recognize those situations then you just disregard it. But outside of those situations it's pretty damn good

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Latest for Laramie and most snow they had in one storm all winter.

I saw there was some place that had more than they had all winter...that was kinda shocking given how active it was out that way. I think parts of CO broke records or at least had like top 5. It's been crazy...I think first winter related watches came back in like mid-September.. 

The west has been extremely fascinating. Go from torch to snow in the mountains lol. That winter storm they got in parts of WY and MT was pretty sick. How common is that for June for them? 

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sunny and warm to hot week

Just really depends on the position of the cut-off low. If we are hot though I don't necessarily think it will be bone dry...there would be MCS potential and several opportunities for convection. Either way just zero confidence to really lean one way or another

Well looks like GFS caving to the Euro for next week.  

Pouring here. Made it back from Dunkin JUST in time. 

These cool weekends suck. I just want to be able to go to the beach and not have to wear jeans, a sweatshirt, and go UNDER the blanket 

There is a pretty decent LLJ in place...won't take much to produce some strong winds. Could have had a bit better potential with timing a bit slower

4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

why are folks saying dry day? HRRR does not look bad.. 

yeah it isn't going to necessarily be dry today. Some will obviously get more rain than others but many at least see some degree of showers. Unfortunately probably just enough to make things wet though...not enough to please everyone. 

9 hours ago, Henry's Weather said:

SPC extending marginal risk across NE... Can someone explain the reason? Is the cold front that strong?

Just enough ingredients present for a few localized damaging wind gusts perhaps. 

One of the SVR warnings in MI says gusts to 85 mph possible...sick!!! 

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Night and day. Maybe the euro is too cut-offy.

Hope so. Should find out this weekend b/c that's when the Euro starts developing it

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not on the euro.

The differences between the GFS and Euro are remarkable...a theme which just seems to becoming more and more common. 

Well perhaps the second half of next week can provide some interesting weather. Potential for it to be convectively active...even some room for some EML advection (though probably not a full-fledged EML). 

9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

We got any severe shot on Thursday

First moderate risk in Michigan in 4 years today 

no

GFS goes EML happy for mid-June! Let's hope 

We need severe wx  

Just now, weathafella said:

Remember the 7/15/95 derecho?

I do! 

Woke up 6:00 AM and wasn't feeling well so went out to the living room to turn on The Weather Channel. After sitting there for like a half hour and no weather I asked my mom what's going on...turned out the TV lineup changed that day. We finally found the station...turned it on....BOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM major squall line ripping through NY and heading into MA.

8 minutes ago, Dan76 said:

Was in the 90's there today.

they did get into the 90's? wow...must have shot up quick. 

1 minute ago, Dan76 said:

Philly forum says berks co a mess

I bet...winds of like 70-80 were more widespread than isolated I think. Don't see that often (around here).

Just now, dryslot said:

All kidding aside, Pretty impressive i will say on goes 16.

I wonder what would have happened with a few more hours of heating but that area was prime for big wind. Right on the edge of an EML, super steep llvl lapse rates, great rear inflow. Why can't we do this  

Man...that could be VERY close to confirmed derecho criteria.