weatherwiz

Now this a true severe thunderstorm watch

10 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

I rather no heat in the winter.. you can always put more cloths on

This statement (while I can see how it makes obvious sense) isn't necessarily a correct statement in terms of adjusting to heat vs. cold. It's not as simple a "you can always put more clothes on". Extreme heat and extreme cold are both big killers every year but there are discrepancies as to which is the bigger killer. Some studies suggest that extreme cold kills far more people than extreme heat while other studies suggest the opposite. When it's extremely hot there are things you can easily do to maintain your body temperature or prevent it from rising...drinking water, staying in shade, minimal activity. Wen it's extreme cold just "adding layers" isn't going to be an answer. You're still being exposed to cold and your body temperature is still slowly falling. Humans can still function with body temperatures around 100 (obviously you feel like shit with a fever but you're not doing damage to your organs). But you're body temperature starts getting 3+ below our average temperature that can start to result in some minor issues. 

The "you can always put more clothes on" statement works great for indoors bur in extreme conditions that has zero value. 

The march towards breaking 90F days at BDL is in. Exciting times ahead 

Talk about the perfect definition of a tornado associated with a TC low topped supercell. Waterspout gets on land and quickly lifts up 

EF-1 tornado confirmed in Westport Tuesday. 3rd tornado of the year in CT...all 3 within a 2-day span 

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I remember when we used to get fronts in the summer. Those were good times.

Maybe when the AMO flips we'll get them again. 

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Alot of trees still  down here in NYC.  I wonder how long it will take them to clear the downer trees.

Some trees are blocking the roads

Probably about as long as it takes the Mets to get a competent owner 

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I mean Galveston is one of the deadliest canes in Canadian history. 

If a tree falls down in the forest, and nobody is around to hear it, did it really fall?

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

They don't need the rain

Nope...and looks like around the same area too that got smoked the other day. I saw they had FFW earlier

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Thanks. The time is a challenge with a full-time job, wife and child, but I do my best. I think the fact that I glossed over local impacts is a byproduct of the time constraint. I need to do a better job of managing that, and I'm glad that Kevin called me out on that because it raises my awareness of it.

My site is "Eastern Mass Weather", but I do try to cover all of SNE, and this system was memorable throughout W SNE.

Covering an entire region is very difficult. I would agree with your assessment to as to why you would have glanced over the local impacts. I used to spend so much time on my blog psots going over the science and meteorology that I would;

1) Just run out of steam and want to be done so I would have very little detail about local impacts 

2) Kinda completely forget to even go into those details...and quite frankly this is what people reading care most about. Perhaps there are some weather weenies who love the science but little Joe wondering if they should cover a window couldn't care less about some jet streak in SE Canada

That's a pretty impressive looking storm moving through east-central PA. Looks like it's driven by decent bulk shear and riding along MUCAPE axis

Today will put a slight dent in things but if we don't see a cooler shot next weekend (which too me is BD driven) this could go down as warmest August on record for some. I fully expect BDL to break the record of 90+ days in a calendar year. 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I do regret not touching upon the sensible impact in SNE more....I tend to focus on landfall area due to time constraints, and it was also apparent it would be NBD in eastern areas.

But in hindsight, I think it was a big enough deal in enough of SNE that I should have acknowledged it more.

Time constraint is certainly understandable. Hell...I wish I had more free time to be more involved with blog posts like I used to do but I think even I'm getting tired of them lol. I've actually thought about turning more into videocasts but issue is I just don't have much personal time. 

I actually enjoy your landfall focus. While I certainly understand your frustration regarding sensible impact there is tremendous value with landfalll forecasts and I think you do a helluva job pinning down locations. I do read your tropical posts/forecasts carefully b/c I admire your landfall predictions and I find them extremely helpful. 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right.....not sure why it garnered some curious responses.

No surprise....

Good for you with sticking to your guns. It's a shame you don't work in the field...your presentation of forecasts is impeccable. I also love how you don't model hug...you use a combination of instinct, knowledge, climo, and data to derive at your forecast. You also don't waver and panic over each model run. You do things correctly. Some just have a horrible habit of focusing on one or two model products and throw flags or towels in with the change of each run. 

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I noticed today that the back side of some tree leaves on the south side are curling, lack of rain or maybe some salt thrown up by the wind.  Extremely dry

I've noticed the same...hell I've noticed a quite a bit of trees too that have numerous limbs without leaves (which are even surrounded by trees which are fully leaved). Not sure if the tree disease is just worsening significantly but I'm noticing more and more even larger pockets where you have several trees just completely bare. 

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Weren't Irene and snowtober the same year? 2011. Feb 13 megablizzard followed Sandy but also son of Sandy caused a bunch of outages in NJ NYC 

ahhh yes right...Irene happened before October...man I tell ya...my memory is legit fading. 

Hopefully we don't get a crazy above-average fall and delay the leaves changing process. We still have a pretty big window to get some high wind events...whether it's from convection or another tropical system before we get to the point where leaves start falling off. 

The next wind event we get...even if it's in fall I think is going to produce a bit more damage than usual. You can see there are a ton of weakened trees...leaning or which have limbs that are partially broken off. I'm trying to remember how the first few wind events panned out after Oct Snow, Irene, and Sandy...anyone recall? 

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

We power,in time for the retorch. Looks chilly next weekend 

Looks like some possible backdoor action? If not though, we may be quite hot. That cold front that tries moving in from the west seems to kinda wash out before getting here.

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It shows 49 customers in NB and fewer than 3 in Shelton . Those are UI towns mainly. So those 52 people in total are out that are Eversource customers 

ahhh gotcha...thanks. I didn't even glance at those columns...just sorted by percentage. 

Still two towns in CT at 100% without power. North Branford and Shelton. Totally unacceptable...it's not like these are middle of nowhere cities. 

8 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea. Great idea closing lanes at 6pm. Had to go down 9 and on Corbins Corner to get to WeHa. 

Part of me doesn't want to complain b/c it's great they're finally addressing these issues but it seems like the organization of it is extremely poor. I left my grandmothers in New Britain like 6:45 so I could beat the construction start...I couldn't believe how it was at 7:00 PM. I always thought they started night work like 9 PM ish. 

I also kinda hate how late in the morning it goes. Every morning when I'm driving down 91 there happens to be a spot on the NB side where the police have it blocked off while the construction crews clean up...so the traffic is at a dead stop...mind you this is about 5:30 AM. That has to screw people going to work. Some people will say "get up earlier" or "find another way"...ok so someone is going to have to wake up at 3:30 to get to work for 6:30...yeah no 

But anyways...glad road/highway issues are being addressed. 

5 hours ago, Dr. Dews said:

it will be interesting to see how much SSTs can rebound the next few weeks.

It could be relatively quick. Depends on how much upwelling there was. Considering how quickly the system moved and the heat returning I think they rebound pretty quickly. 

1 minute ago, ice1972 said:

It’s a lot of damage dude and if it’s not as bad as Oct 2011 it seems pretty close....I keep telling myself it’s not but then just keep seeing more and more.....I don’t remember the signals being down so long for some reason.....But maybe that’s because I wasn’t holed up in my basement for work which means I’m making more trips around town than back then as I did return to the office in Cheshire the next day....

I didn’t go around a large part of West Hartford...went from New Britain Ave off 39, took a right, then down Ridgewood Rd, a right into Sedgwick Rd, left on South Main, then right on Boulevard...was trying to catch 84 off west Boulevard but a huge tree blocked the street so I went down Prospect to Sisson Ave. I don’t think it was anything like the Oct snowstorm though...of course maybe there was a ton of cleanup already but that storm literally every single side street was littered with trees and limbs and it was crazy widespread. What was peak power outages in WeHa for this? Wasn’t it like 95+% in Oct?

I went to my Facebook and I found my albums from that storm! 3 albums totaling 407 pictures taken..and that was all within maybe a 3-4 mile radius? Maybe Ryan could chip in but I would say oct 2011 had much more damage overall...but like I said perhaps there was a lot of cleanup already.  

Horrific road work on 84 in West Hartford between 39A and 41 so got off in West Hartford and drive around the old stomping grounds....holy shit at the damage. Certainly nothing like the October snowstorm but definitely worse than Irene and Sandy. The size of the trees down too is quite impressive...not just West Hartford but everywhere. Just imagine what another 20 mph would do  

I think we may break the record for 90F days in CT. TORCH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!