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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    bufkit does this, but obvious the output isn't on a map
  2. weatherwiz
    I guess if there is one downfall of the NAM is it occludes pretty quickly so that may negate long-duration of the heaviest which of course would have a negative impact for the higher-end of the ceiling
  3. weatherwiz
    I think NAM bufkit may actually come out by 11? or 11-11:30.
  4. weatherwiz
    Now we gotta wait for the GFS...this extra hour sucks. I wonder if we'll ever start to get model data quicker someday. Also...have to wait until like 1:00 for GFS bufkit ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
  5. weatherwiz
    Hello beautiful
  6. weatherwiz
    Slowly starting to get somewhere but still many flags. I think overall subsidence is going to be the biggest killer for some. Where the banding happens and it rips its going to be pretty epic. The best case scenario is a band that pivots across the entire region or if dual banding sets up they conjoin.
  7. weatherwiz
    I guess if anything, it's nice not seeing the HRRR chasing convection...even if it's the extended range of the HRRR.
  8. weatherwiz
    I think we're at a stage where models are going to diverge and fall apart and once we get to 12z tomorrow we start to see a consensus towards a bit hit. And that's not just me being a weenie. It will start with the NAM and we'll see the typical NAM jokes and then guidance starts to trickle. Not uncommon in these bigger ceiling type events.
  9. weatherwiz
    Ughh I typed this and it went away but one underrated aspect of this that will have to be discussed is thundersnow potential. Some soundings are quite unstable through the DGZ…you get intense lift through that and you’re getting 3-4” per hour rates somewhere. And ratios will be better then 10:1
  10. weatherwiz
    Unfortunately I am about 2 hours away from bed
  11. weatherwiz
    Turning the clocks ahead makes us one hour closer to May 1st!!!
  12. weatherwiz
    Sweet…a win-win
  13. weatherwiz
    Does this mean bars close an hour earlier?
  14. weatherwiz
    Goalposts are fine…as long as it’s not a Dallas cowboy doing the kicking
  15. weatherwiz
    Nice! Youve had a decent few weeks.
  16. weatherwiz
    What did you get? I went to sleep with rain drops on the noggin when letting the dog out
  17. weatherwiz
    FWIW, these snow maps are the reason why last night was overblown. That entire system was completely over forecast from the upper-Midwest, northern Ohio Valley, and here. At what point…when will it happen…that people realize they’re TRASH
  18. weatherwiz
    Maybe next December
  19. weatherwiz
    3” is better then 0”
  20. weatherwiz
    If you inhale strong enough you can sniff my snow
  21. weatherwiz
    I went nuts. I only use to do maps for CT but I expanded a bit and I’m getting destroyed on Twitter hahaha.
  22. weatherwiz
    I’m getting October 2011 vibes just opposite seasonal trend
  23. weatherwiz
    My girlfriend moved up here from Florida in 2018 and that’s where the dog/cat are from. This could be the biggest storm the dog has seen…in looking forward to it b/c he does not like snow. I can’t wait to see his face when I let him out to go potty. He’s going to be pissed we can’t play outside though.
  24. weatherwiz
    I might sleep on my roof
  25. weatherwiz
    Much appreciated. I can embarrassingly say I am horrible at paying closer attention to topography and elevations.
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