This isn't a situation where you just want to see slight ticks west...you really want to see a significant jump east. And by significant I mean more than just an OP run or a few ens members. There is substantial work to get such a significant jump. The window certainly isn't closed, but its just about fully shut.
I was just doing something similar with TT switching browsers between 12z/6z. I hate how the sizing changes though. I wish the domain would remain fixed it would be much easier to visualize. Anyways there certainly has been some slight ticks west, but the mean is still very far east.
A nice light show but I wanted the core. It’s almost as if Arnold Schwarzenegger just picked up the storms and shifted them east. What a slap in the face. It was looking super promising. I think the stupid rain that developed out ahead of it had a say. Lightning good sure…but Fook
Ughhhhhhhh screw this. I go east…and the core keeps shifting east. I wanted to get into the core. Stupid piece of crap pre ahead of storm rain. I’m so sick and tired of this shit. This is ridiculous
I don't think I'd make it...traffic getting from 291 to 91 in Springfield is usually pretty brutal around this time and traffic getting to the highway is usually a bit.
Stuff popping around here though so I'll just plan on local
Best CAPE we've had all summer today.
SBCAPE: 4000-4500 J/KG
MLCAPE: 2500-3000 J/KG
LI: -8 to -9
Too bad shear wasn't stronger with a more potent system moving through BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
Decent lapse rates, both mid-level and low-level, combined with adequate shear, and mixed-layer CAPE 2500-3000 J/KG...there will be some nasty cells today.
EDIT: whoops, thought I was in the main thread
Absolutely agreed - the analysis is great. Sometimes the level of IMBY'ism and just the general "we have no shot" or it's going to hit" us posts can get too overwhelming (and not just in this case of tropical, but winter too. Even in the case of Lee, even if it has a 0.05% chance to hit us - the discussion and analysis is great because it's discussion and analysis what's drive learning and understanding. Now some people don't care about the learning and understanding - but ultimately that's what this place is for.
Social media - particularly the media outlets have pretty much married the Euro over the last decade. Not sure if it was Sandy or something else that drove it but media outlets drool over the Euro.