weatherwiz

The upcoming period is going to come down to timing. If we can get timing to work out with shortwaves amplifying it will be fun, otherwise its going to be boring and dry. We're essentially in Kyle Schwarber mode now...either going to be hitting HR's or striking out immensely. He should be doing that for the Red Sox for the next 5-6 years

We are about 10 weeks from 60's, 12 weeks from 70's, 15 weeks from 80's, and about 18 weeks from getting some severe weather threats

doesn't work :/ edit: working now!

One wild card is going to be how quickly temperatures can drop though Friday night...it's going to be quite mild Friday. Wet bulb temperatures may not get much below freezing so even within the interior it may end up with alot of 33-34's. Might just be very localized areas but its something to watch

Yeah there is an increasing signal for icing across the interior this weekend. Going to be difficult to lift the sfc warm front north with flow becoming parallel to the front and you can see sfc winds even becoming more ENE across the interior

That's awesome! I so wish I had a mind for that stuff haha

It's so time consuming, particularly the way I do it lol. This is where being able to write code and know Python would be massive...as long as you are able to obtain the source data you would be able to create whatever you wanted and how you wanted and save a ton of time because once you have a script written you can just re-run to get updated data. Maybe MATLAB would be better for something like this though versus Python but Python has become so powerful now

Yeah I have noticed you do that, which is great. Obviously it is a major PITA to really do which sucks. Like I've always said, I wish I was skilled enough to take the daily values provided by the CPC for NAO, AO, PNA and create a rolling bi-weekly index. I'm sure this could easily be done in like Excel but it's not as easy as just taking the daily values, adding, and doing an average. There's way more to it...like if you take the daily values for a particular month and divide by the number of days...the value won't match what the monthly index value is.

This. I think when it comes to creating composites, focusing on weekly or biweekly intervals versus just a monthly averaged plot would end up yielding a more accurate assessment and I think it would really help to add clarity when you're dealing with transient patterns and the transition periods.

That's awesome...I had a feeling. Explains some of the advertisements too. Her ads are great BTW...always enjoy them. She knows how to do it

I don't know for 100% but I've always wondered if there was a relation. Is it the QB?

This may be the best snow growth so far this winter Coming down moderate with pretty big dendrites...this is awesome. Too bad it can't do this for 8 hours straight

yeah the flake size was pretty big as those heavier echoes moved overhead.

all snow now...coming down pretty good

Mixture of freezing rain and snow here but becoming more skewed towards snow

yup...my thoughts exactly.

Goff Law has about 95% of the highway advertisement billboards

Had some sleet earlier. Best part of it being icy tonight is I don’t have to travel to Branford tomorrow so that means I can watch the first period of this stupid 10:00 game tonight.

At least with nothing modeled we don't have to endure D10+ snowfall maps from 750 different models after every run

I'm talking more about saying an upcoming stretch looks boring or quiet or writing off an upcoming stretch just because a storm isn't popping up on guidance. I would definitely wait until we're closer to get super excited and hopeful, but right now we stand in a good spot...much better than looking at a ridge in the east

100% agreed

IMO, this is one of the best modeled looks we have had in several years. I really hate saying that because that's been said multiple times each of the last few winters but not only is there consensus in how the teleconnections trend and align but how they become structured. That period around Jan 15th...I find it extremely difficult to believe there would not be something around...unless we totally lose the look. But as long as we maintain this look I think we are going to have 2-3 storm threats within a 10 day period.

When you dig deeper into the model analysis it's a pretty encouraging look IMO and should have folks interests peaked. I get part of the "fun" is just whipping out SLP and snow maps to see something but you gotta look beyond those.

I'm not even all that upset about this weekends cutter, that system is going to be a big player and setting up the pattern behind it for mid and late January. I want to see things hold through the remainder of the week and on weekend guidance before truly becoming excited but it's great to finally see a look which is more conducive for amplifying northern streams with some southern stream involvement. That 13th-15th period and 17th-19th period is very close to producing something

Also those anomalies are probably heavily skewed from the few systems bringing brief anomalously warm temperatures through the midwestern states and even here potentially this weekend if that system does indeed cut like that