Probably more so the northern half of VT/NH. We may get screwed with s/w subsidence and morning clouds/precip. But up north, closer to the sfc low could be a different game with some better approaching forcing later in the day
Not sure how much develops tomorrow afternoon, probably going to be quite isolated but I'd watch any storm that develops across upstate NY, VT, and NH. Could be room for a few brief tornadoes there. Large helicity field tomorrow and pretty good CAPE
Outside of any days with extensive cloud cover or precip it's an above-average pattern, which will be further fueled by what would be warm/humid overnights. But days with abundant sunshine is going to be lower-to-mid 80's for higher elevations and coast and mid-to-upper 80's inland with the warmest days getting into the lower 90's.
Oh I Did. I am still shaking lol. Was standing outside under the overhang and just got my camcorder setup, saw the super bright flash and loudest crack I ever heard. Heard it before the flash was done lol.
Well that explains the difference! Elevation and coastline will 99.9% of the time be cooler. Think of lapse rates. If you have higher elevations (say above 1000’) like ORH pushing 90 or into the lower 90’s…then you’re talking about some extreme heat region wide. For the most part days/nights have been above average. If 925/850 temperatures are above average and well above the the entire region is above…maybe some locations are a bit less but that is more reflective of local climate versus large scale pattern and the large scale pattern holds more weight
Climate change is definitely roaring its head. I mean the last few days down here have been equivalent to probably some of the hottest days we’ve had this summer. The only difference is the super high sun angle…that sun is strong and you can get burned within minutes. But outside right now…it doesn’t feel much different than the warm nights up there
2m temperature anomaly maps are in the fraud 5 of what should never be looked at.
1. snow maps - they are pure garbage
2. supercell composite parameter - stupid
3. significant tornado parameter - stupid
4. the hazard option on the SHARPPy soundings - stupid
5. 2M temperature anomaly maps - stupid