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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. Yep. It's odd watching the "storm cancel" weenies on the weather forums. They expected recon to find a 920 mb storm or something. LOL I went to bed at 1:30am with absolutely no expectation to wake up to anything more than a Cat 1. I'm surprised so many on these weather forums anticipated more. Ida really shouldn't take off until tonight and Sunday. Now if it's still a Cat 1 in 24 hours, then that might mean a weaker storm.
  2. Something like that. It's all moot point because that entire area will probably be submerged.
  3. That's my worry. That it dicks around long enough to blow up right before landfall. If it were a Cat 4 now, it'd definitely have time to weaken before landfall.
  4. Well it shows 115 kt offshore, and 115 kts after landfall, implying they're sticking to their 120 kt landfall forecast.
  5. THIS. I never understood why the hoity toity crowd used to get their panties in a bunch over it. I grew up in the 1990s watching old documentaries like "A Lady Called Camille".
  6. 11pm Video on Ida https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPu7UHwCjs4
  7. SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.4N 80.9W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF GRAND CAYMAN ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
  8. I love Windspeed's input and we go back a long time, but I just realized he uses the acronym "PV" quite a bit.
  9. Here's my video on Ida tonight for anyone interested https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5lMmPctbbI
  10. If we are reaching for reasons to inhibit strengthening, we could have a real serious hurricane on our hands.
  11. 12Z GFS has landfall in Louisiana at 932 mb.
  12. Yeah I think we'd be looking at a Monday/Monday night/early Tuesday morning landfall.
  13. Lt. Dan and Forrest country is getting absolutely decimated over and over. These storms have been avoiding Houston and New Orleans by pure luck.
  14. We could always hope for a Bret '99 situation, where maybe it strikes a very sparsely populated region like Padre Island or something. But that would have to pin the needle on the thread just right.
  15. Waking up this morning to more disturbing model trends. The GFS has now consistently shown run after run, 99L becoming a major hurricane landfall in the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast region. The EURO also shows 99L becoming a significant storm, and shows another powerful Cape Verde hurricane approaching the Caribbean in about a week. The EURO has also shown this for a few runs now. I'm reminded of when Harvey was nothing more than a wave in the Caribbean, yet models began consistently showing a major hurricane approaching the Texas coast. We could have a problem here.
  16. Right but I'm talking about Cape Verdes as well.
  17. I'm surprised the hype wasn't even more than it was, to be honest. I think that Henri's biggest issue was the northerly shear being stronger than the models predicted from Friday night through most of Saturday. The way Henri looked Saturday morning on visible was reminiscent of Bob 1991 right when that storm cranked to 115 mph. Had Henri strengthened into a Cat 2 or even Cat 3, despite weakening, it would have been far worse. Thankfully that didn't occur.
  18. I think we will see a few fish storms, but one or two may slide under the radar. Think 1998. We had several out to sea (Hurricanes Danielle, Ivan, Jeanne, Karl, Lisa) but Hurricane Georges slipped under the radar.
  19. That 12ZEURO shows "Ida" becoming a hurricane out to sea, "Julian" becoming a major hurricane slamming the middle TX coast, and "Kate" as a hurricane spinning west towards the Lesser Antilles. We shall see.
  20. I'm surprised by the rain rates over New Jersey and Western Long Island.
  21. Video Update on Henri https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J7xlKdIPlI8
  22. Anyone got an estimate on time of landfall?
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