OceanStWx

It's like steering a cruise ship, can't make fast course corrections. We're headed towards a reality more like our severe thunderstorm warnings, that are hand drawn, but the technology isn't there yet for winter storm warnings, high wind watches, etc. In the coming years we'll be able to select an elevation or even a wind chill contour and issue statements for above or below. The biggest issue is that doing headlines that way will never be county based, and almost all the dissemination is county based. But it would be a start.

Maybe I should get her carboard cut out like Wiz had of Miley.

I'm embedding at HSEM in September and it's definitely something I can raise with them. I'm sure we could come up with a climatology of rare enough to not be a nuisance and frequent enough to be a hazard.

We were actually having a discussion about different ways to handle it this morning. This is a great example of how the hazard simplification paradigm will be a good thing for the NWS. Right now we cannot issue elevation based products like a winter weather advisory or special weather statement. BUT if we can transition to the HazSimp idea where only warnings and statements exist, we theoretically could issue a statement for just elevations above 2500 ft in a situation like this.

Our REC forecast was pretty damn close to the actual conditions, so that was good. But we really didn't do much more than some cursory mentions of bad weather above 2500 ft. We definitely could've hit it on our social feeds harder (more like MWObs). I was off, but I think I plan to use this as an example for everyone, especially the new people at the office, that we have a serious number of recreators every warm season and most of them have no clue about how cold it can get in the summer.

Not sure if you can access this (https://hwp-viz.gsd.esrl.noaa.gov/wave1d/?col=2&hgt=1&location=KPWM&selectedgroup=Default&obs=true&fontsize=1&darkmode=auto&graph=fa-chart-bar&probfield=Tmax&proboperator=>%3D&probvalue=40&colorfriendly=false&whiskers=false&boxes=true&median=false&det=true&tz=local) but it plots obs on the forecast as time goes on.

You could always hit Liquid Riot on Commercial and sit outside on the dock deck. They are more bar than brewery, but they do have their own stuff that's pretty good.

Beer.

I have to say Bissell I think. Also like a lot of what Battery Steele and Lone Pine do. Allagash if you want more Euro-styled beers.

https://wgme.com/news/local/hiker-severe-weather-new-hampshire-dies-injuries-rescue-presidential-range-white-mountains You can see conditions here.

Hail up to thy knickers

It's true. It's common knowledge that you downslope in nor'easters and get that warmer/drier weather.

So much beer he thinks he's in Phoenix.

Why not? You know what would be better than ruining another holiday weekend, ruining another holiday weekend with 12 hour tropical shifts.

I have two that bloom on both, so I shield it and stuff it with pine straw in the winter and see what grows in the spring and trim back the rest.

Sat behind 12 yesterday. I think we saw maybe 2 birdies through JT's group (he actually had the best shot of the day into the green but 3 putt for bogey). Most shots came up short (downhill and downwind plus a pretty severe back to front slope scared them from going long), but we also saw lots of chunked chips and head shaking.

That's a new one for me. If I had to guess it has something to do with significant severe, since hatching is black to begin with.

Me and Joe tossing buns back and forth on the collaboration chat this morning.

Are we? We should have data flowing although it does need some maintenance tomorrow (or whenever we get a dry few hours).

Oh man, I've had some delicious jalapeño margaritas before. Never with watermelon, but the spice is nice.

That line that developed was moving about 350 mph if you track it. My guess is chaff, but it's the weirdest looking chaff I've seen (usually it strings out along the flow). And I can't ever recall seeing a track of the aircraft that dropped it either.

My solar panels are down 6% from peak power and at times ASOS/AWOS are observing drops in visibility or a ceiling thanks to the pollen.

I had the basic size battery run out after 3/4 of the lawn last mow, but it was long and thick. I could easily charge and trim/edge and be ready to finish when that's done. The kids could even play outside while I mowed without worrying about the noise.

Not dumb at all, the drought index is pretty opaque unless you dig into the components. So the overall outlook is based on a number of inputs, including Palmer index, soil moisture, streamflow, and standardized precip index. The SPI works based on the history of observed rainfall amounts, so that will be dynamic to changing climate conditions (i.e. if dry years become more common the index value will add less to the overall drought classification). Soil moisture is tied to the new climate normals as well (1991-2020). And Palmer index is more or less water in minus water out, so it doesn't really matter whether the climate is changing for that. They all have their strengths and weaknesses. Like the Palmer operates on a 9 month timescale, so rapidly evolving droughts are late to show up in its index value.