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Everything posted by weathertree4u
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January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That looks nice. When is that bigger storm? -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Well, either way that it goes, we have alot more to track this year than last! -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My thoughts exactly! -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Numbers do not look good but I am almost 100% sure that, like the real, real cold, it is an apparition and will change in the next run! -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
yea, that is what is making me uneasy. Guess I will need to make sure that the wood burning stove is good to go tomorrow. Rather have it and not need that need it and not have it -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the 18Z GFS is catching on to the ZR idea midweek -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Like how impressive? -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea, that would be historic, and dont forget, some areas could still be out of power with the icing that will be under that snowpack. -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
One of the things that stand out to me is that it is not the usual snow/ice that the South gets. Whatever falls looks like it will be on the ground, in the trees, etc., for an extended period of time, which is unusual around here. -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think, if I am not mistaken, we had that same issue in February 1994. Nashville got to a balmy temp I believe, then we had an arctic front come through, a low developed on it and we got slammed by ZR -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Gotcha, I knew there was a difference! -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea, I would agree, yet the NWS in Nashville is projecting staggering warmth by midweek, near 50, likely heavily weighted on the GFS -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea, really not starting to like this model! That much ice is more than enough to do serious damage to things, then to have a dump of arctic air behind it, not good, not good at all. -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just a general statement here. Anyone know why it is that the GFS does not see any of what the replacement GFS does? For example, for this upcoming week, the replacement GFS is still seeing allot of ZR for my area but if you access the regular GFS, nothing. How could the physics used in both be so different? -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully it is out to lunch but the Canadian has it too. Nearly an inch of ZR in Sumner County would not be pretty. -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Basically same conditions here in Cottontown. -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
All right, that makes more sense to me, thank you! -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Dont take this the wrong way, but what does that mean? What happened to the really cold air we were seeing modeled yesterday. -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea, I am pretty close to that area north Nashville that is depicted nearing an inch of freezing rain, not good, not good at all. -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
With the pattern we are in, no one needs an ice storm; cant imagine being without power for an extended time with temps possibly lurking near or below zero. -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Will be interested to see what the GFS-FV3 and the Euro have to say today. Wonder that if we get another icebox run of the Euro today at noon? -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
True enough! -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The GFS seems to be bouncing around not sure that I put allot of weight in it anymore really -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I must have the incorrect url for the euro - I thought it ran just twice a day -
January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ok, I had interpreted the post as something worse than or colder than the afternoon run of the model but you are saying it is warmer.