Agreed. Some wild swings still happening. Those should ease by 12z tomorrow I would think. NAM looks like it wants to miss us AND most of the Mid Atl and slide way south. Alas, it's the 12k NAM at range. But expect more jumping around around next 24 hours at least.
I don't disagree. We are still at range where 50-60 mile jumps with the precip band can occur. Once we get to about 12z Friday those jumps transition to ticks. And by 0z Sunday I think we have a final solution. That's why I don't mind NOT being in the bullseye just yet. We know the drill.
LC backpedalled from his earlier epic pattern reversal and big thaw during week of Jan 11. Now suggests a slight relax for a period while the pattern reloads and sets up a return to intense winter weather late January and early February.
Happy New Year!
Evening elixir of choice on this windy and seasonably chilly evening is a 2022 Bell's Expedition Russian Imperial Stout. Aged a 6-pack of this for 2.5 years in a dark cellar and the aging process didn't disappoint. One of the better RIS I've drank recently.
Bullseye likely just N of the M/D line after the usual N trend over the final 72 hrs. Someone posted an individual ens member here earlier that will be close to the final, so it's certainly within the realm of possibility.
I wouldn't write it off. The eps have a good amount of hits in our region. Pretty sure any S trends have ceased....if you want to call them trends. But the slider sheared solutions to our S are losing their footing.
How bout those Nittany Lions???
I have OSU beating Oregon, ND over GA, TX over AZ State.
Would give my left nut for a PSU-OSU natl championship. Penn State is overdue.
Chicken vs egg question.....is that gyre you noted strengthening the NAO block and location OR is the NAO dictating what that 50/50 does? Or is it a beautiful tango where they are both intertwined and dependent of one another?
Just saw that LC sees that back side of the cold pattern and is touting a Jan thaw week of the 12th. I'm having trouble cherry picking the ens for any legit warmth in the LR. Is he going off of climo or is this showing on some obscure guidance now?