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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Wow, 2 of your last 3 posts I agree with. SPV split must be freezing hell over.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    And the rgem went to the gfs so yeah
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Might be the analfront thing the euro was showing.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Eps is just insane. The mean snowfall maps for after the 10th thru the 17th are off the charts. Tbh havent seen such a strong snowstorm signal at this range since possibly Jan 2016. Major signal across the board.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    That's a chilly President's Day.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    P30 for me and I'm good for 5 years.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS has a few hits and was loading up a KU event at the end of the run. Groundhog will be right.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Realizing this is the NAM at range, but this looks quite wintry. And with LP developing near the outer banks, anything to keep those winds with a Northerly component will keep interior section in the CAD.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    So helps us all if the deep south gets clobbered again while we smoke cirrus. This board would self-destruct.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Plus with Chuck's raging +NAO there isn't anything to suppress so that will come N and W
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Isnt there another thread for tracking mud season?
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    "Gobbler's Knob" always makes me blush
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    EPS long range is drool-worthy. Next 12 days(ish) would be a bonus.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Source: he said so
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Funny how the gfs op is a weenie run during the 'mild' reload stretch then looks to relax when we are supposed to enter our best pattern. Interesting how this stuff works sometimes.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    CMC looks like 1 impulse and a significant ice/sleet storm for the LV Wed-Thurs.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS still hellbent on a wintry storm midweek. Showing 2 separate impules...a weak one Wednesday as mostly scattered snow showers or light snow (icon on board and cmc slowwwwly trending) then has a significant ice/sleet storm Wednesday overnight into a good chunk of Thursday. Nice CAD signal depicted for a global model. Pretty Interesting 'mild' stretch. We take.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Incoming on the gfs for the Feb 12 thing. Sprawling hp up top.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep, right next to 'go with the snowiest model'...page 1 of the weenie handbook.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Thank you @mitchnick Looks like a transient -PNA during the reload with signs of ridging in the PNA region rolling forward. SER gets predictably squashed. Seasonal trends rule?
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Agreed, mid-month onward likely best chances setting up for an actual secs/mecs tracking window. Great explanation of the progression as usual.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    None of these appear to be clean flush hits. Heck, none of these may even have frozen when it happens. But if this is our 'mild' period and we are potentially tracking, that isnt a bad thing. I recall a few folks saying be careful in this pattern with all these waves and cold air lurking nearby as something could pop in the short range?
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    I want whatever half this forum is smoking. Bone dry? No snow next 15 days? GFS alone has 4 waves between Feb 5 and Feb 14 and each has frozen for at least parts of this sub.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    @stormtracker, you got this?
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS op has actually been most consistent with the feb 5 mix thump thing tbh
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