ovechkin

Heavy pixie dust in Wheaton. May cover the street by the end of the day with these type of flakes.

Very light snow here only as well. Under freezing, dark, end of January, and an untreated side street is just wet. LOL and dc winters.

Very unimpressive so far. 30 in wheaton with light snow. Dusting on the grass. Street just wet. Without any rates this will be an all day couple of inches deal. The WAA snow didn’t start early nor come in like a wall. Not good signs.

2 hours ago DCA was 32 and PHL was 31. Now DCA is 34 and PHL is 25.

The issue is not our result. When you see 20 inches plus 100 miles away, that’s what sucks.

Shocking. Every damn storm.

Meanwhile DCA is UP a degree to 34. Can’t make this up.

The only line that matters here... “entirely coastal in origin.” This isn’t.

Meanwhile this amazing airmass allowed DCA to tickle 24 degrees for a low in late January. Such an impressive airmass that the high for tomorrow is now around 40. Every advertised cold has underperformed for the past 2-3 years it seems.

And eagle and Stars and Stripes parking in the old dark Cap Centre.

Yes!!

An hour ago we feared suppression. Now we fear too far north. I can’t keep up. “Calgon take me away!” (Old 1980’s commercial.) seriously though. I thought within 72 hours significant changes don’t usually occur.

As a novice I’m learning a ton from PSU. He gives nothing but honest assessments and opinions based on evidence, history and not emotion. He could end up right or wrong, but I appreciate the insights big time. I hope his area and mine (immediate metro) get creamed and don’t care if he gets more which would be expected anyway.

Question for the seasoned folks from a total amateur. I’m trying to understand the warming depicted at “halftime.” I get (Or maybe I am totally off) that as the coastal gets going SE winds take over until it gets cranking and then shift more NE, but why would that warm the surface so far inland?I get maybe the mid levels but to warm all layers to get plain rain to 95 I am not understanding in a scenario like this with a L that far away. Thanks.

Assuming it follows a similar path, when it gets into range the NAM is bound to have a run with some fun looking insane totals. Should be entertaining at least.

May this is stupid thinking but when I see the UKMET south in this case it just perhaps is a data point to suggest that the GFS is out to lunch.

2/9-10, 2010 also had 20 inches of snow on the ground to start. I have no clue why but when we have snow already around it seems to alter systems. 96 had a clipper that turned into a 6 inch storm also with 2 feet on the ground. If this thing now has a primary in Ohio and a transfer near Delaware we will be using a broom to sweep our 1-2 inches while NYC gets 18 inches o

But Isn’t there a risk of the worst of both worlds so to speak? WAA dies out earlier and still miss the goods from the coastal?

DC doesn’t do complicated very well 99% of the time. Late December 2000 was 6-10 that became a total whiff. Jan 2005 was a potential big one that only produced a few inches of WAA snow (in a very cold airmass btw) that then dry slotted while NYC got 15 inches because someone sneezed in the Lincoln Tunnel. So many easy ways to fail. At least if we get something on the front end and some on the back end it will fall in different months so from a stats standpoint we could perhaps get close to monthly snow averages. Always need to look on the bright side

After further review the call on the ice has been overturned. We have a good goal.

It’s actually impressive that with a L in the mouth of the bay the thermals in DC proper are not worse.

Only if the block doesn’t decay.

Getting 4-6 is fine. Getting 4-6 when everyone on the Jersey turnpike is getting 15, that’s less fine.

So on the one hand we were told to be worried about suppression. Now everything is too far north. I don’t even know what to root against or for anymore.

Well, at least it’s not suppressed. Thought that was the bigger worry here.