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ovechkin

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Everything posted by ovechkin

  1. DCA report their obligatory T yet?
  2. Couldn’t get the rates last week. Couldn’t get the temps this week.
  3. Looks nice outside the window at the VA. I’ll never doubt the models again... Until Thursday s
  4. Mrs. OV texted thay it has changed to mostly snow in Wheaton. Woo hoo!
  5. 39 on the car thermometer FWIW crossing in DC proper. Decent rates and puking some fatty raindrops.
  6. Sometimes just knowing where you live for 50 years is a lot more reliable than any model. Lots of smart people here but also lots of modelogy practice. Enjoy the rain.
  7. Well, good night all. Must work in the AM. I can’t remember the last time we were 7 hours from an event in the immediate metro with temps in the low to mid 40s dews already in the mid 20s and it working out, but we will see. Here’s to dynamics, rates and dramatically coolong columns.
  8. It’s 47 in the city right now.
  9. I’m one of the dumbest people on this board but 47 degrees with dews in the mid 20s less than 10 hours before honest usually means bust around here. I saw the sounding, and I get people are relying on it. I’m just going off 50 years of living here instead. Hope I’m wrong.
  10. DCA went up 2 degress this hour to 47. Go figure. 41 here in Wheaton.
  11. But this a bit reassuring at least in that there is no across the board NW shift.
  12. On call last night at the VA ( North Capitol and Michigan.) I guess I’m just worried the models bust on temps. Hope they are correct. Will be a great event if they are right!
  13. Serious question from a novice and my apologies in advance for my ignorance. I see what the models are projecting, and get there will be low dews and can calculate a wet bulb. Yet, with temps on Saturday around 50 during the day, clouding up during the evening, and the inability in the immediate metro to cool down even to forcasted lows most nights (supposed to be 35 last night and never dropped below 40, and even last Friday night during the “very cold” stretch barely ducked under 25,) how will this ever be cold enough to support accumulating snow? I have seen dynaimc heavy snow accumulate at 34-35. I get it. But how can we be sure it won’t be just cloudy at 42 heading into the event in the immediate metro? Is just robust dynamic cooling? Again, sorry if this a stupid question.
  14. So, did the Euro actually cave to the ICON today?
  15. Seems like the ICON has actually been the most consistent. How odd is that?
  16. Wow. For attempting a little levity. Maybe it wasn’t that funny but still, relax. It’s not a storm mode thread. Look in the mirror and smile. It does a body a good. :)
  17. Thank god this will blitz PHL amd NYC at least. Its been whole 11 minutes since their last major storm.
  18. Sorry for the novice and perhaps stupid question, but wouldn’t this look allow the Sunday/Monday wave to gain more latitude before exiting the coast?
  19. The same map that gave me an 80% chance of > 6 inches last weekend. Besides teaching kids their colors I don’t see any value to these.
  20. Big cold is great immediately after or before a storm to keep snow around or maximize potential of a storm. Would like a storm with a temp in the 20s. Tired of the past few years of marginal temps, especially in daylight, where half of the precip melts on contact
  21. Yeah, was mostly joking. Should have added an emoji. But it certainly plausible that this ends up OTS. Would love a super bowl storm. Some of us are old enough to remember the 87 super bowl storm. That was awesome.
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