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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    Updated forecast - mainly to shove Hartford in 3-5 and New Haven in 1-3.
  2. CT Rain
    I'm really surprised how warm the HRRR/3km NAM are in low levels across SNE.
  3. CT Rain
    RPM with about 2" in Tolland
  4. CT Rain
    Seems like it's on the nose of the 850mb jet with some strong convergence there plus deformation on the NW side of h7 low.
  5. CT Rain
    I want that NYC burst on Monday to come NE too. Connecticut is in sort of a hole here.
  6. CT Rain
    Here's the NBM.
  7. CT Rain
    Here's the RGEM clown map.
  8. CT Rain
    Yeah it's a tough forecast for sure. I have 84 on north in 5-10" that could def be too high. Looks better across the border in Mass.
  9. CT Rain
    Nice... it updates a bit slower on weatherbell. Very cold at 850/925 but borderline at 700mb so definitely some sneaky warm layers in there.
  10. CT Rain
    How's it look back this way? The thump definitely is interesting as it is soooo close to some big totals.
  11. CT Rain
    3km NAM isn't the most exciting.
  12. CT Rain
    I don't buy the warmth at the surface... though the 3km NAM typically handles 2m temps the best.
  13. CT Rain
    3km NAM is still very very torchy.
  14. CT Rain
    I love the 6-9 hours of basically no QPF in the NE Hills of CT while it pounds Berks/W CT.
  15. CT Rain
    GFS looks pretty good for many.
  16. CT Rain
    I mean... beware the ULL south of us lol
  17. CT Rain
    Yeah, I mean lollis to 2 feet
  18. CT Rain
    Are you predicting 12-18" for Tolland?
  19. CT Rain
    Not sure how much is pingers and how much is ZR. 18z Euro has a pretty shallow warm layer... would be mainly snow > sleet > snow.
  20. CT Rain
    This is what I went with at 4.
  21. CT Rain
    Sure is torchy at 850.
  22. CT Rain
    Here's what I'm thinking
  23. CT Rain
    Agreed about HVN. Would prefer a somewhat better high to the north for the best drain to the coast but still that's a cold look... take the under across board back this way. Nice thump, prolonged mix, mid level magic on back end. Nice H5/H7 low tracks especially for W CT... but probably fun for many.
  24. CT Rain
    I mean I can foresee a 12-18 hour of sleet/freezing rain here before we go back to snow.
  25. CT Rain
    Looks like a prolonged period of crap icing for many areas inland Sunday night, Monday AM, etc. Should be real nasty stuff with snow before and after.
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